Medical professionals evaluating alternative treatment plans for a patient often encounter time varying confounders, or covariates that affect both the future treatment assignment and the patient outcome. The recently proposed Counterfactual Recurrent Network (CRN) accounts for time varying confounders by using adversarial training to balance recurrent historical representations of patient data. However, this work assumes that all time varying covariates are confounding and thus attempts to balance the full state representation. Given that the actual subset of covariates that may in fact be confounding is in general unknown, recent work on counterfactual evaluation in the static, non-temporal setting has suggested that disentangling the covariate representation into separate factors, where each either influence treatment selection, patient outcome or both can help isolate selection bias and restrict balancing efforts to factors that influence outcome, allowing the remaining factors which predict treatment without needlessly being balanced.
Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications（北京邮电大学）；Mila - Québec AI Institute（米拉-魁北克人工智能研究所）；HEC Montréal（蒙特利尔高等商学院）
Most Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) predict the labels of unseen graphs by learning the correlation between the input graphs and labels. However, by presenting a graph classification investigation on the training graphs with severe bias, surprisingly, we discover that GNNs always tend to explore the spurious correlations to make decision, even if the causal correlation always exists. This implies that existing GNNs trained on such biased datasets will suffer from poor generalization capability. By analyzing this problem in a causal view, we find that disentangling and decorrelating the causal an…
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST)（韩国科学技术院）
The problem of fair classification can be mollified if we develop a method to remove the embedded sensitive information from the classification features. This line of separating the sensitive information is developed through the causal inference, and the causal inference enables the counterfactual generations to contrast the what-if case of the opposite sensitive attribute. Along with this separation with the causality, a frequent assumption in the deep latent causal model defines a single latent variable to absorb the entire exogenous uncertainty of the causal graph. However, we claim that su…
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科技大学）；Zhejiang Laboratory（之江实验室）；Huawei Noah’s Ark Lab（华为诺亚方舟实验室）
This paper proposes a Disentangled gEnerative cAusal Representation (DEAR) learning method under appropriate supervised information. Unlike existing disentanglement methods that enforce independence of the latent variables, we consider the general case where the underlying factors of interests can be causally related. We show that previous methods with independent priors fail to disentangle causally related factors even under supervision. Motivated by this finding, we propose a new disentangled learning method called DEAR that enables causal controllable generation and causal representation le…
Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad（印度理工学院海得拉巴分校）
Representation learners that disentangle factors of variation have already proven to be important in addressing various real world concerns such as fairness and interpretability. Initially consisting of unsupervised models with independence assumptions, more recently, weak supervision and correlated features have been explored, but without a causal view of the generative process. In contrast, we work under the regime of a causal generative process where generative factors are either independent or can be potentially confounded by a set of observed or unobserved confounders. We present an analy…
Disentangled Double Machine Learning for Accurate Causal Effect Estimation
School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Hefei University of Technology（合肥工业大学计算机科学与信息工程学院）；School of Computer and Information Technology, Shanxi University（山西大学计算机与信息学院）
ETH Zurich（苏黎世联邦理工学院）；MPI for Intelligent Systems（马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所）
The ability to learn disentangled representations that split underlying sources of variation in high dimensional, unstructured data is important for data efficient and robust use of neural networks. While various approaches aiming towards this goal have been proposed in recent times, a commonly accepted definition and validation procedure is missing. We provide a causal perspective on representation learning which covers disentanglement and domain shift robustness as special cases. Our causal framework allows us to introduce a new metric for the quantitative evaluation of deep latent variable …
Disentangled representation learning offers useful properties such as dimension reduction and interpretability, which are essential to modern deep learning approaches. Although deep learning techniques have been widely applied to spatio-temporal data mining, there has been little attention to further disentangle the latent features and understanding their contribution to the model performance, particularly their mutual information and correlation across features. In this study, we adopt two state-of-the-art disentangled representation learning methods and apply them to three large-scale public…
D-FaST: Cognitive Signal Decoding with Disentangled Frequency-Spatial-Temporal Attention
National University of Defense Technology（国防科技大学）；Academy of Medical Engineering and Translational Medicine, Tianjin University（天津大学医学工程与转化医学研究院）；School of Big Data and Artificial Intelligence, Xinyang College（信阳学院大数据与人工智能学院）
Recently in the field of unsupervised representation learning, strong identifiability results for disentanglement of causally-related latent variables have been established by exploiting certain side information, such as class labels, in addition to independence. However, most existing work is constrained by functional form assumptions such as independent sources or further with linear transitions, and distribution assumptions such as stationary, exponential family distribution. It is unknown whether the underlying latent variables and their causal relations are identifiable if they have arbit…
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST)（韩国科学技术院）；NAVER AI Lab（NAVER人工智能实验室）；AITRICS
Inspired by the impressive performance of recent face image editing methods, several studies have been naturally proposed to extend these methods to the face video editing task. One of the main challenges here is temporal consistency among edited frames, which is still unresolved. To this end, we propose a novel face video editing framework based on diffusion autoencoders that can successfully extract the decomposed features - for the first time as a face video editing model - of identity and motion from a given video. This modeling allows us to edit the video by simply manipulating the tempor…
Representation learning constructs low-dimensional representations to summarize essential features of high-dimensional data. This learning problem is often approached by describing various desiderata associated with learned representations; e.g., that they be non-spurious, efficient, or disentangled. It can be challenging, however, to turn these intuitive desiderata into formal criteria that can be measured and enhanced based on observed data. In this paper, we take a causal perspective on representation learning, formalizing non-spuriousness and efficiency (in supervised representation learni…
Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications（北京邮电大学）；Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院计算技术研究所）；Institute for Interdisciplinary Information Sciences (IIIS), Tsinghua University（清华大学交叉信息研究院）
Traffic forecasting is crucial for public safety and resource optimization, yet is very challenging due to three aspects: i) current existing works mostly exploit intricate temporal patterns (e.g., the short-term thunderstorm and long-term daily trends) within a single method, which fail to accurately capture spatio-temporal dependencies under different schemas; ii) the under-exploration of the graph positional encoding limit the extraction of spatial information in the commonly used full graph attention network; iii) the quadratic complexity of the full graph attention introduces heavy comput…
Causality is a non-obvious concept that is often considered to be related to temporality. In this paper we present a number of past and present approaches to the definition of temporality and causality from philosophical, physical, and computational points of view. We note that time is an important ingredient in many relationships and phenomena. The topic is then divided into the two main areas of temporal discovery, which is concerned with finding relations that are stretched over time, and causal discovery, where a claim is made as to the causal influence of certain events on others. We pres…
Time-series representation learning is a fundamental task for time-series analysis. While significant progress has been made to achieve accurate representations for downstream applications, the learned representations often lack interpretability and do not expose semantic meanings. Different from previous efforts on the entangled feature space, we aim to extract the semantic-rich temporal correlations in the latent interpretable factorized representation of the data. Motivated by the success of disentangled representation learning in computer vision, we study the possibility of learning semant…
Learning individual-level treatment effect is a fundamental problem in causal inference and has received increasing attention in many areas, especially in the user growth area which concerns many internet companies. Recently, disentangled representation learning methods that decompose covariates into three latent factors, including instrumental, confounding and adjustment factors, have witnessed great success in treatment effect estimation. However, it remains an open problem how to learn the underlying disentangled factors precisely. Specifically, previous methods fail to obtain independent d…
George Mason University（乔治梅森大学）；JD.COM Silicon Valley Research Center（京东硅谷研究中心）；University of Notre Dame（圣母大学）；Emory University（埃默里大学）
Spatiotemporal graph represents a crucial data structure where the nodes and edges are embedded in a geometric space and can evolve dynamically over time. Nowadays, spatiotemporal graph data is becoming increasingly popular and important, ranging from microscale (e.g. protein folding), to middle-scale (e.g. dynamic functional connectivity), to macro-scale (e.g. human mobility network). Although disentangling and understanding the correlations among spatial, temporal, and graph aspects have been a long-standing key topic in network science, they typically rely on network processing hypothesized…
Temporal Latent Variable Structural Causal Model for Causal Discovery under External Interferences
School of Computer Science, Guangdong University of Technology（广东工业大学计算机科学学院）；Peng Cheng Laboratory（鹏城实验室）；Machine Learning Department, Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（Mohamed bin Zayed人工智能大学机器学习系）；College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Shantou University（汕头大学数学与计算机科学学院）
University of Technology Sydney（悉尼科技大学）；Curtin University（科廷大学）；University of New South Wales（新南威尔士大学）；Tsinghua University（清华大学）
Traditional recommendation models trained on observational interaction data have generated large impacts in a wide range of applications, it faces bias problems that cover users' true intent and thus deteriorate the recommendation effectiveness. Existing methods tracks this problem as eliminating bias for the robust recommendation, e.g., by re-weighting training samples or learning disentangled representation. The disentangled representation methods as the state-of-the-art eliminate bias through revealing cause-effect of the bias generation. However, how to design the semantics-aware and unbia…
Although it is well known that exploration plays a key role in Reinforcement Learning (RL), prevailing exploration strategies for continuous control tasks in RL are mainly based on naive isotropic Gaussian noise regardless of the causality relationship between action space and the task and consider all dimensions of actions equally important. In this work, we propose to conduct interventions on the primal action space to discover the causal relationship between the action space and the task reward. We propose the method of State-Wise Action Refined (SWAR), which addresses the issue of action s…
Salesforce Research Asia（赛富时亚洲研究院）；Singapore Management University（新加坡管理大学）
Deep learning has been actively studied for time series forecasting, and the mainstream paradigm is based on the end-to-end training of neural network architectures, ranging from classical LSTM/RNNs to more recent TCNs and Transformers. Motivated by the recent success of representation learning in computer vision and natural language processing, we argue that a more promising paradigm for time series forecasting, is to first learn disentangled feature representations, followed by a simple regression fine-tuning step -- we justify such a paradigm from a causal perspective. Following this princi…
University of Amsterdam（阿姆斯特丹大学）；MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab（麻省理工学院-IBM沃森人工智能实验室）；Qualcomm AI Research（高通人工智能研究院）
Causal representation learning is the task of identifying the underlying causal variables and their relations from high-dimensional observations, such as images. Recent work has shown that one can reconstruct the causal variables from temporal sequences of observations under the assumption that there are no instantaneous causal relations between them. In practical applications, however, our measurement or frame rate might be slower than many of the causal effects. This effectively creates "instantaneous" effects and invalidates previous identifiability results. To address this issue, we propos…
University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）；The Alan Turing Institute（艾伦·图灵研究所）；University of Oxford（牛津大学）；University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA)（加州大学洛杉矶分校）
Choosing the best treatment-plan for each individual patient requires accurate forecasts of their outcome trajectories as a function of the treatment, over time. While large observational data sets constitute rich sources of information to learn from, they also contain biases as treatments are rarely assigned randomly in practice. To provide accurate and unbiased forecasts, we introduce the Disentangled Counterfactual Recurrent Network (DCRN), a novel sequence-to-sequence architecture that estimates treatment outcomes over time by learning representations of patient histories that are disentan…
Our goal is to recover time-delayed latent causal variables and identify their relations from measured temporal data. Estimating causally-related latent variables from observations is particularly challenging as the latent variables are not uniquely recoverable in the most general case. In this work, we consider both a nonparametric, nonstationary setting and a parametric setting for the latent processes and propose two provable conditions under which temporally causal latent processes can be identified from their nonlinear mixtures. We propose LEAP, a theoretically-grounded framework that ext…
University of Maryland, Baltimore County（马里兰大学巴尔的摩县分校）
Conventional temporal causal discovery (CD) methods suffer from high dimensionality, fail to identify lagged causal relationships, and often ignore dynamics in relations. In this study, we present a novel constraint-based CD approach for autocorrelated and non-stationary time series data (eCDANs) capable of detecting lagged and contemporaneous causal relationships along with temporal changes. eCDANs addresses high dimensionality by optimizing the conditioning sets while conducting conditional independence (CI) tests and identifies the changes in causal relations by introducing a surrogate vari…
