We study the subject of universal online learning with non-i.i.d. processes for bounded losses. The notion of an universally consistent learning was defined by Hanneke in an effort to study learning theory under minimal assumptions, where the objective is to obtain low long-run average loss for any target function. We are interested in characterizing processes for which learning is possible and whether there exist learning rules guaranteed to be universally consistent given the only assumption that such learning is possible. The case of unbounded losses is very restrictive, since the learnable processes almost surely visit a finite number of points and as a result, simple memorization is optimistically universal. We focus on the bounded setting and give a complete characterization of the processes admitting strong and weak universal learning. We further show that k-nearest neighbor algorithm (kNN) is not optimistically universal and present a novel variant of 1NN which is optimistically universal for general input and value spaces in both strong and weak setting. This closes all COLT 2021 open problems posed by Hanneke on universal online learning.
Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院）；Purdue University（普渡大学）
We resolve an open problem of Hanneke on the subject of universally consistent online learning with non-i.i.d. processes and unbounded losses. The notion of an optimistically universal learning rule was defined by Hanneke in an effort to study learning theory under minimal assumptions. A given learning rule is said to be optimistically universal if it achieves a low long-run average loss whenever the data generating process makes this goal achievable by some learning rule. Hanneke posed as an open problem whether, for every unbounded loss, the family of processes admitting universal learning a…
Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago（芝加哥丰田技术学院）
This work initiates a general study of learning and generalization without the i.i.d. assumption, starting from first principles. While the traditional approach to statistical learning theory typically relies on standard assumptions from probability theory (e.g., i.i.d. or stationary ergodic), in this work we are interested in developing a theory of learning based only on the most fundamental and necessary assumptions implicit in the requirements of the learning problem itself. We specifically study universally consistent function learning, where the objective is to obtain low long-run average…
Recently, several universal methods have been proposed for online convex optimization which can handle convex, strongly convex and exponentially concave cost functions simultaneously. However, most of these algorithms have been designed with static regret minimization in mind, but this notion of regret may not be suitable for changing environments. To address this shortcoming, we propose a novel and intuitive framework for universal online optimization in dynamic environments. Unlike existing universal algorithms, our strategy does not rely on the construction of a set of experts and an accomp…
Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院）；Purdue University（普渡大学）
We consider the contextual bandit problem on general action and context spaces, where the learner's rewards depend on their selected actions and an observable context. This generalizes the standard multi-armed bandit to the case where side information is available, e.g., patients' records or customers' history, which allows for personalized treatment. We focus on consistency -- vanishing regret compared to the optimal policy -- and show that for large classes of non-i.i.d. contexts, consistency can be achieved regardless of the time-invariant reward mechanism, a property known as universal con…
We prove the familiar Lazy Online Gradient Descent algorithm is universal on polytope domains. That means it gets $O(1)$ pseudo-regret against i.i.d opponents, while simultaneously achieving the well-known $O(\sqrt N)$ worst-case regret bound. For comparison the bulk of the literature focuses on variants of the Hedge (exponential weights) algorithm on the simplex. These can in principle be lifted to general polytopes; however the process is computationally unfeasible for many important classes where the number of vertices grows quickly with the dimension. The lifting procedure also ignores any…
National Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University（南京大学计算机软件新技术国家重点实验室）
In this paper, we study adaptive online convex optimization, and aim to design a universal algorithm that achieves optimal regret bounds for multiple common types of loss functions. Existing universal methods are limited in the sense that they are optimal for only a subclass of loss functions. To address this limitation, we propose a novel online method, namely Maler, which enjoys the optimal $O(\sqrt{T})$, $O(d\log T)$ and $O(\log T)$ regret bounds for general convex, exponentially concave, and strongly convex functions respectively. The essential idea is to run multiple types of learning alg…
We present an approach towards convex optimization that relies on a novel scheme which converts online adaptive algorithms into offline methods. In the offline optimization setting, our derived methods are shown to obtain favourable adaptive guarantees which depend on the harmonic sum of the queried gradients. We further show that our methods implicitly adapt to the objective's structure: in the smooth case fast convergence rates are ensured without any prior knowledge of the smoothness parameter, while still maintaining guarantees in the non-smooth setting. Our approach has a natural extensio…
University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；MBZUAI（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）；Wayne State University（韦恩州立大学）
This paper investigates the problem of regret minimization in linear time-varying (LTV) dynamical systems. Due to the simultaneous presence of uncertainty and non-stationarity, designing online control algorithms for unknown LTV systems remains a challenging task. At a cost of NP-hard offline planning, prior works have introduced online convex optimization algorithms, although they suffer from nonparametric rate of regret. In this paper, we propose the first computationally tractable online algorithm with regret guarantees that avoids offline planning over the state linear feedback policies. O…
We present a novel method for convex unconstrained optimization that, without any modifications, ensures: (i) accelerated convergence rate for smooth objectives, (ii) standard convergence rate in the general (non-smooth) setting, and (iii) standard convergence rate in the stochastic optimization setting. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first method that simultaneously applies to all of the above settings. At the heart of our method is an adaptive learning rate rule that employs importance weights, in the spirit of adaptive online learning algorithms (Duchi et al., 2011; Levy, 2017), …
National Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University（南京大学新型软件技术国家重点实验室）；Paradigm Inc.（第四范式有限公司）
To deal with changing environments, a new performance measure -- adaptive regret, defined as the maximum static regret over any interval, was proposed in online learning. Under the setting of online convex optimization, several algorithms have been successfully developed to minimize the adaptive regret. However, existing algorithms lack universality in the sense that they can only handle one type of convex functions and need apriori knowledge of parameters. By contrast, there exist universal algorithms, such as MetaGrad, that attain optimal static regret for multiple types of convex functions …
Online convex optimization is a sequential prediction framework with the goal to track and adapt to the environment through evaluating proper convex loss functions. We study efficient particle filtering methods from the perspective of such a framework. We formulate an efficient particle filtering methods for the non-stationary environment by making connections with the online mirror descent algorithm which is known to be a universal online convex optimization algorithm. As a result of this connection, our proposed particle filtering algorithm proves to achieve optimal particle efficiency.
National Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology（现代软件工程国家重点实验室）；School of Artificial Intelligence, Nanjing University（南京大学人工智能学院）；College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院计算学院）；JD AI Research（京东AI研究院）
In learning theory, the performance of an online policy is commonly measured in terms of the static regret metric, which compares the cumulative loss of an online policy to that of an optimal benchmark in hindsight. In the definition of static regret, the action of the benchmark policy remains fixed throughout the time horizon. Naturally, the resulting regret bounds become loose in non-stationary settings where fixed actions often suffer from poor performance. In this paper, we investigate a stronger notion of regret minimization in the context of online caching. In particular, we allow the ac…
Universal Online Convex Optimization with $1$ Projection per Round
National Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University（南京大学计算机软件新技术国家重点实验室）；School of Artificial Intelligence, Nanjing University（南京大学人工智能学院）
We introduce an online convex optimization algorithm which utilizes projected subgradient descent with optimal adaptive learning rates. Our method provides second-order minimax-optimal dynamic regret guarantee (i.e. dependent on the sum of squared subgradient norms) for a sequence of general convex functions, which may not have strong convexity, smoothness, exp-concavity or even Lipschitz-continuity. The regret guarantee is against any comparator decision sequence with bounded path variation (i.e. sum of the distances between successive decisions). We generate the lower bound of the worst-case…
In this work, we aim to create a completely online algorithmic framework for prediction with expert advice that is translation-free and scale-free of the expert losses. Our goal is to create a generalized algorithm that is suitable for use in a wide variety of applications. For this purpose, we study the expected regret of our algorithm against a generic competition class in the sequential prediction by expert advice problem, where the expected regret measures the difference between the losses of our prediction algorithm and the losses of the 'best' expert selection strategy in the competition…
Dual Adaptivity: Universal Algorithms for Minimizing the Adaptive Regret of Convex Functions
National Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China（南京大学新型软件技术国家重点实验室）；School of Artificial Intelligence, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China（南京大学人工智能学院）；College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, USA（佐治亚理工学院计算机学院）
Purdue University（普渡大学）；University of Minnesota（明尼苏达大学）
Past research has indicated that the covariance of the Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) error done via minibatching plays a critical role in determining its regularization and escape from low potential points. Motivated by some new research in this area, we prove universality results by showing that noise classes that have the same mean and covariance structure of SGD via minibatching have similar properties. We mainly consider the Multiplicative Stochastic Gradient Descent (M-SGD) algorithm as introduced in previous work, which has a much more general noise class than the SGD algorithm done …
United Imaging Intelligence（联影智能）；University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校）；University of Oregon（俄勒冈大学）
Motion estimation of cardiac MRI videos is crucial for the evaluation of human heart anatomy and function. Recent researches show promising results with deep learning-based methods. In clinical deployment, however, they suffer dramatic performance drops due to mismatched distributions between training and testing datasets, commonly encountered in the clinical environment. On the other hand, it is arguably impossible to collect all representative datasets and to train a universal tracker before deployment. In this context, we proposed a novel fast online adaptive learning (FOAL) framework: an o…
U.S. Army Research Laboratory（美国陆军研究实验室）；Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur（印度理工学院坎普尔分校）
An open challenge in supervised learning is \emph{conceptual drift}: a data point begins as classified according to one label, but over time the notion of that label changes. Beyond linear autoregressive models, transfer and meta learning address drift, but require data that is representative of disparate domains at the outset of training. To relax this requirement, we propose a memory-efficient \emph{online} universal function approximator based on compressed kernel methods. Our approach hinges upon viewing non-stationary learning as online convex optimization with dynamic comparators, for wh…
Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago（芝加哥丰田理工学院）；Ben-Gurion University of the Negev（内盖夫本-古里安大学）；Ariel University（阿里埃勒大学）
We extend a recently proposed 1-nearest-neighbor based multiclass learning algorithm and prove that our modification is universally strongly Bayes-consistent in all metric spaces admitting any such learner, making it an "optimistically universal" Bayes-consistent learner. This is the first learning algorithm known to enjoy this property; by comparison, the $k$-NN classifier and its variants are not generally universally Bayes-consistent, except under additional structural assumptions, such as an inner product, a norm, finite dimension, or a Besicovitch-type property. The metric spaces in which…
We study universal consistency of non-i.i.d. processes in the context of online learning. A stochastic process is said to admit universal consistency if there exists a learner that achieves vanishing average loss for any measurable response function on this process. When the loss function is unbounded, Blanchard et al. showed that the only processes admitting strong universal consistency are those taking a finite number of values almost surely. However, when the loss function is bounded, the class of processes admitting strong universal consistency is much richer and its characterization could…
This work provides an online learning rule that is universally consistent under processes on (X,Y) pairs, under conditions only on the X process. As a special case, the conditions admit all processes on (X,Y) such that the process on X is stationary. This generalizes past results which required stationarity for the joint process on (X,Y), and additionally required this process to be ergodic. In particular, this means that ergodicity is superfluous for the purpose of universally consistent online learning.
University of Southern California（南加州大学）；Peking University（北京大学）；Beijing Institute of Big Data Research（北京大数据研究院）
We study the decades-old problem of online portfolio management and propose the first algorithm with logarithmic regret that is not based on Cover's Universal Portfolio algorithm and admits much faster implementation. Specifically Universal Portfolio enjoys optimal regret $\mathcal{O}(N\ln T)$ for $N$ financial instruments over $T$ rounds, but requires log-concave sampling and has a large polynomial running time. Our algorithm, on the other hand, ensures a slightly larger but still logarithmic regret of $\mathcal{O}(N^2(\ln T)^4)$, and is based on the well-studied Online Mirror Descent framewo…
Institute of Computer Science Polish Academy of Sciences（计算机科学研究所波兰科学院）；Institute of Fundamental Technological Research Polish Academy of Sciences（基础技术研究所波兰科学院）
We propose a novel nonparametric online predictor for discrete labels conditioned on multivariate continuous features. The predictor is based on a feature space discretization induced by a full-fledged k-d tree with randomly picked directions and a recursive Bayesian distribution, which allows to automatically learn the most relevant feature scales characterizing the conditional distribution. We prove its pointwise universality, i.e., it achieves a normalized log loss performance asymptotically as good as the true conditional entropy of the labels given the features. The time complexity to pro…
University of Trieste（的里雅斯特大学）；CWI（荷兰国家数学与计算机科学研究中心）；University of Bremen（不来梅大学）；La Sapienza University of Rome（罗马第一大学）；INRIA-Erable（法国国家信息与自动化研究所Erable团队）；Vrije Universiteit（阿姆斯特丹自由大学）
We introduce a novel measure for quantifying the error in input predictions. The error is based on a minimum-cost hyperedge cover in a suitably defined hypergraph and provides a general template which we apply to online graph problems. The measure captures errors due to absent predicted requests as well as unpredicted actual requests; hence, predicted and actual inputs can be of arbitrary size. We achieve refined performance guarantees for previously studied network design problems in the online-list model, such as Steiner tree and facility location. Further, we initiate the study of learning-…
Institute for Information Transmission Problems Russian Academy of Sciences（俄罗斯科学院信息传输问题研究所）
We present a universal algorithm for online trading in Stock Market which performs asymptotically at least as good as any stationary trading strategy that computes the investment at each step using a fixed function of the side information that belongs to a given RKHS (Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space). Using a universal kernel, we extend this result for any continuous stationary strategy. In this learning process, a trader rationally chooses his gambles using predictions made by a randomized well-calibrated algorithm. Our strategy is based on Dawid's notion of calibration with more general che…
Classification involves the learning of the mapping function that associates input samples to corresponding target label. There are two major categories of classification problems: Single-label classification and Multi-label classification. Traditional binary and multi-class classifications are sub-categories of single-label classification. Several classifiers are developed for binary, multi-class and multi-label classification problems, but there are no classifiers available in the literature capable of performing all three types of classification. In this paper, a novel online universal clas…
UC San Diego（加利福尼亚大学圣地亚哥分校）；Gauss Labs Inc.（高斯实验室公司）
A class of parameter-free online linear optimization algorithms is proposed that harnesses the structure of an adversarial sequence by adapting to some side information. These algorithms combine the reduction technique of Orabona and P{á}l (2016) for adapting coin betting algorithms for online linear optimization with universal compression techniques in information theory for incorporating sequential side information to coin betting. Concrete examples are studied in which the side information has a tree structure and consists of quantized values of the previous symbols of the adversarial seque…
We study the adversarial multi-armed bandit problem and create a completely online algorithmic framework that is invariant under arbitrary translations and scales of the arm losses. We study the expected performance of our algorithm against a generic competition class, which makes it applicable for a wide variety of problem scenarios. Our algorithm works from a universal prediction perspective and the performance measure used is the expected regret against arbitrary arm selection sequences, which is the difference between our losses and a competing loss sequence. The competition class can be d…
SurgPLAN++: Universal Surgical Phase Localization Network for Online and Offline Inference
Centre for Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Hong Kong Institute of Science and Innovation, Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院香港创新研究院人工智能与机器人中心）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）；Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院自动化研究所）；King’s College London（伦敦国王学院）
We study the framework of universal dynamic regret minimization with strongly convex losses. We answer an open problem in Baby and Wang 2021 by showing that in a proper learning setup, Strongly Adaptive algorithms can achieve the near optimal dynamic regret of $\tilde O(d^{1/3} n^{1/3}\text{TV}[u_{1:n}]^{2/3} \vee d)$ against any comparator sequence $u_1,\ldots,u_n$ simultaneously, where $n$ is the time horizon and $\text{TV}[u_{1:n}]$ is the Total Variation of comparator. These results are facilitated by exploiting a number of new structures imposed by the KKT conditions that were not conside…
We show that the Subgradient algorithm is universal for online learning on the simplex in the sense that it simultaneously achieves $O(\sqrt N)$ regret for adversarial costs and $O(1)$ pseudo-regret for i.i.d costs. To the best of our knowledge this is the first demonstration of a universal algorithm on the simplex that is not a variant of Hedge. Since Subgradient is a popular and widely used algorithm our results have immediate broad application.
