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arXiv 2201.04747physics.soc-phcs.AIq-bio.PE

Nanowars can cause epidemic resurgence and fail to promote cooperation

ETH Zürich(苏黎世联邦理工学院);Complexity Science Hub Vienna(维也纳复杂性科学中心);University of Maribor(马里博尔大学);China Medical University Hospital, China Medical University(中国医药大学附设医院,中国医药大学);Alma Mater Europaea(欧洲母校大学)

Dirk Helbing, Matjaž Perc

英文摘要:

In a non-sustainable, "over-populated" world, what might the use of nanotechnology-based targeted, autonomous weapons mean for the future of humanity? In order to gain some insights, we make a simplified game-theoretical thought experiment. We consider a population where agents play the public goods game, and where in parallel an epidemic unfolds. Agents that are infected defectors are killed with a certain probability and replaced by susceptible cooperators. We show that such "nanowars", even if aiming to promote good behavior and planetary health, fail not only to promote cooperation, but they also significantly increase the probability of repetitive epidemic waves. In fact, newborn cooperators turn out to be easy targets for defectors in their neighborhood. Therefore, counterintuitively, the discussed intervention may even have the opposite effect as desired, promoting defection. We also find a critical threshold for the death rate of infected defectors, beyond which resurgent epidemic waves become a certainty. In conclusion, we urgently call for international regulation of nanotechnology and autonomous weapons.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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