arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2201.02117physics.soc-ph
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揭示复杂城市背后的时空交互模式

Revealing spatio-temporal interaction patterns behind complex cities

Chenxin Liu, Yu Yang, Bingsheng Chen, Tianyu Cui, Fan Shang, Jingfang Fan, Ruiqi Li

AI总结:

本文利用大规模手机数据构建时空交互网络,揭示城市在活跃与休眠状态间切换、人口异质性随规模增大等普遍规律,并提出时间—人口加权机会模型以解释和预测城市时空交互模式。

摘要:

城市是典型的动态复杂系统,连接着人们并促进互动。揭示居民之间时空交互背后的普遍集体模式对于各类城市研究至关重要,而我们目前仍缺乏对此的全面理解。大规模手机数据使我们能够基于个体的时空共现来构建交互网络。尽管城市中的人们几乎不断移动,且吸引人群的热点区域在一天中随时间变化,但各地点每小时动态人口的位序—规模分布保持稳定。城市规模越大,其异质性越强,表现为更大的标度指数。在将连续时间窗口内的时空交互网络聚合之后,我们揭示了城市在两种状态之间切换的行为。在“活跃”状态下,整个城市集中于更少但更大的社区;而在“休眠”状态下,人们分散在更多但更小的社区中。上述发现在各大洲多样化的城市中具有普遍性。此外,当城市人口规模增大时,其“休眠”时间更少。并且,在较小城市中,时空交互隔离可以较好地用居住隔离来近似,但在较大城市中则不然。我们通过整合随时间变化的出发概率,提出了一个时间—人口加权机会模型,用于对人类移动性进行动态预测,该模型能够较好地解释城市中观测到的时空交互模式。

英文摘要:

Cities are typical dynamic complex systems that connect people and facilitate interactions. Revealing universal collective patterns behind spatio-temporal interactions between residents is crucial for various urban studies, of which we are still lacking a comprehensive understanding. Massive cellphone data enable us to construct interaction networks based on spatio-temporal co-occurrence of individuals. The rank-size distributions of hourly dynamic population of locations are stable, although people are almost constantly moving in cities and hotspots that attract people are changing over time in a day. A larger city is of a stronger heterogeneity as indicated by a larger scaling exponent. After aggregating spatio-temporal interaction networks over consecutive time windows, we reveal a switching behavior of cities between two states. During the "active" state, the whole city is concentrated in fewer larger communities; while in the "sleeping" state, people are scattered in more smaller communities. Above discoveries are universal over diversified cities across continents. In addition, a city sleeps less, when its population grows larger. And spatio-temporal interaction segregation can be well approximated by residential segregation in smaller cities, but not in larger ones. We propose a temporal-population-weighted-opportunity model by integrating time-dependent departure probability to make dynamic predictions on human mobility, which can reasonably well explain observed patterns of spatio-temporal interactions in cities.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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