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arXiv 2201.00818cs.LG
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多元时间序列回归的图神经网络及其在地震数据中的应用

Graph Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series Regression with Application to Seismic Data

Tilburg University(蒂尔堡大学);Jheronimus Academy of Data Science(赫罗尼姆斯数据科学学院);Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia(意大利国家地球物理与火山学研究所);Università degli Studi Roma Tre(罗马第三大学);Swiss Seismological Service (SED) at ETH Zurich(苏黎世联邦理工学院瑞士地震服务中心);Osnabrück University(奥斯纳布吕克大学);German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence (DFKI)(德国人工智能研究中心)

Stefan Bloemheuvel, Jurgen van den Hoogen, Dario Jozinović, Alberto Michelini, Martin Atzmueller

摘要:

随着深度学习的发展,机器学习在分析时间序列方面显示出巨大的潜力。然而,在许多情况下,可以潜在地改进预测的附加信息是可用的。这对于来自以下方面的数据至关重要:传感器网络包含有关传感器位置的信息。然后,这种空间信息可以通过图形结构建模来利用,以及顺序(时间序列)信息。最近在使深度学习适应图形方面取得的进展在各种任务中显示出了潜力。然而,这些方法在很大程度上并不适用于时间序列任务。大多数尝试基本上都是围绕着小序列长度的时间序列预测进行的。通常,这些架构不太适合回归或分类任务,其中要预测的值不严格取决于最近的值,而是取决于时间序列的整个长度。我们提出了TISER-GCN,一种新的图神经网络架构的处理,特别是,这些长时间序列的多元回归任务。我们提出的模型进行了测试,在两个地震数据集包含地震波形,其目标是预测最大强度测量的地面震动在每个地震站。我们的研究结果表明,我们的方法取得了可喜的成果-与最佳性能基线相比,平均MSE降低了16.3%。此外,我们的方法只需要一半的输入大小就可以匹配基线分数。结果进行了深入讨论,额外的消融研究。

英文摘要:

Machine learning, with its advances in deep learning has shown great potential in analyzing time series. In many scenarios, however, additional information that can potentially improve the predictions is available. This is crucial for data that arise from e.g., sensor networks that contain information about sensor locations. Then, such spatial information can be exploited by modeling it via graph structures, along with the sequential (time series) information. Recent advances in adapting deep learning to graphs have shown potential in various tasks. However, these methods have not been adapted for time series tasks to a great extent. Most attempts have essentially consolidated around time series forecasting with small sequence lengths. Generally, these architectures are not well suited for regression or classification tasks where the value to be predicted is not strictly depending on the most recent values, but rather on the whole length of the time series. We propose TISER-GCN, a novel graph neural network architecture for processing, in particular, these long time series in a multivariate regression task. Our proposed model is tested on two seismic datasets containing earthquake waveforms, where the goal is to predict maximum intensity measurements of ground shaking at each seismic station. Our findings demonstrate promising results of our approach -- with an average MSE reduction of 16.3% - compared to the best performing baselines. In addition, our approach matches the baseline scores by needing only half the input size. The results are discussed in depth with an additional ablation study.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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