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arXiv 2111.06754cs.CVcs.LGeess.IV

Monte Carlo dropout increases model repeatability

Massachusetts General Hospital(麻省总医院);Polytechnique Montreal(蒙特利尔理工学院);Mila, Quebec AI Institute(Mila魁北克人工智能研究所);Massachusetts Institute of Technology(麻省理工学院);MGH and BWH Center for Clinical Data Science(麻省总医院与布莱根妇女医院临床数据科学中心);National Cancer Institute(美国国家癌症研究所);Oregon Health and Science University(俄勒冈健康与科学大学)

Andreanne Lemay, Katharina Hoebel, Christopher P. Bridge, Didem Egemen, Ana Cecilia Rodriguez, Mark Schiffman, John Peter Campbell, Jayashree Kalpathy-Cramer

英文摘要:

The integration of artificial intelligence into clinical workflows requires reliable and robust models. Among the main features of robustness is repeatability. Much attention is given to classification performance without assessing the model repeatability, leading to the development of models that turn out to be unusable in practice. In this work, we evaluate the repeatability of four model types on images from the same patient that were acquired during the same visit. We study the performance of binary, multi-class, ordinal, and regression models on three medical image analysis tasks: cervical cancer screening, breast density estimation, and retinopathy of prematurity classification. Moreover, we assess the impact of sampling Monte Carlo dropout predictions at test time on classification performance and repeatability. Leveraging Monte Carlo predictions significantly increased repeatability for all tasks on the binary, multi-class, and ordinal models leading to an average reduction of the 95% limits of agreement by 17% points.

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