This is a tutorial and survey paper on various methods for Sufficient Dimension Reduction (SDR). We cover these methods with both statistical high-dimensional regression perspective and machine learning approach for dimensionality reduction. We start with introducing inverse regression methods including Sliced Inverse Regression (SIR), Sliced Average Variance Estimation (SAVE), contour regression, directional regression, Principal Fitted Components (PFC), Likelihood Acquired Direction (LAD), and graphical regression. Then, we introduce forward regression methods including Principal Hessian Directions (pHd), Minimum Average Variance Estimation (MAVE), Conditional Variance Estimation (CVE), and deep SDR methods. Finally, we explain Kernel Dimension Reduction (KDR) both for supervised and unsupervised learning. We also show that supervised KDR and supervised PCA are equivalent.
Random Forests [Breiman:2001] (RF) are a fully non-parametric statistical method requiring no distributional assumptions on covariate relation to the response. RF are a robust, nonlinear technique that optimizes predictive accuracy by fitting an ensemble of trees to stabilize model estimates. The randomForestSRC package (http://cran.r-project.org/package=randomForestSRC) is a unified treatment of Breiman's random forests for survival, regression and classification problems. Predictive accuracy make RF an attractive alternative to parametric models, though complexity and interpretability of the…
Feature extraction and dimensionality reduction are important tasks in many fields of science dealing with signal processing and analysis. The relevance of these techniques is increasing as current sensory devices are developed with ever higher resolution, and problems involving multimodal data sources become more common. A plethora of feature extraction methods are available in the literature collectively grouped under the field of Multivariate Analysis (MVA). This paper provides a uniform treatment of several methods: Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Partial Least Squares (PLS), Canonical…
LaMME（LaMME实验室）；University Paris Saclay（巴黎萨克雷大学）；Stellantis（斯泰兰蒂斯）；ENSIIE（法国国立高等工业工程学院）；Quantmetry（Quantmetry公司）
To explain the decision of any model, we extend the notion of probabilistic Sufficient Explanations (P-SE). For each instance, this approach selects the minimal subset of features that is sufficient to yield the same prediction with high probability, while removing other features. The crux of P-SE is to compute the conditional probability of maintaining the same prediction. Therefore, we introduce an accurate and fast estimator of this probability via random Forests for any data $(\boldsymbol{X}, Y)$ and show its efficiency through a theoretical analysis of its consistency. As a consequence, w…
This paper provides a tutorial discussion on analyzing structural equation modelling (SEM). SEM can be regarded as regression models with observed and unobserved indicators, have been extensively applied to practical and fundamental studies. We deliver an introduction to SEM method and a detailed description of how to deal with analyzing the data with this kind of modelling. The intended audience is statisticians/mathematicians/methodologists who either know about SEM or simple basic statistics especially in regression and linear/nonlinear modeling, and Ph.D. students in statistics, mathematic…
North Carolina State University（北卡罗来纳州立大学）；Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科技大学）
Latent factor model estimation typically relies on either using domain knowledge to manually pick several observed covariates as factor proxies, or purely conducting multivariate analysis such as principal component analysis. However, the former approach may suffer from the bias while the latter can not incorporate additional information. We propose to bridge these two approaches while allowing the number of factor proxies to diverge, and hence make the latent factor model estimation robust, flexible, and statistically more accurate. As a bonus, the number of factors is also allowed to grow. A…
It is shown that any linear estimator that satisfies the moment conditions up to order $p$ is equivalent to a local polynomial regression of order $p$ with some non-negative weight function if and only if the kernel has at most $p$ sign changes. If the data points are placed symmetrically about the estimation point, a linear weighting function is equivalent to the standard quadratic weighting function.
Shape-constrained nonparametric regression is a growing area in econometrics, statistics, operations research, machine learning and related fields. In the field of productivity and efficiency analysis, recent developments in the multivariate convex regression and related techniques such as convex quantile regression and convex expectile regression have bridged the long-standing gap between the conventional deterministic-nonparametric and stochastic-parametric methods. Unfortunately, the heavy computational burden and the lack of powerful, reliable, and fully open access computational package h…
We review sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) estimators with multivariate response in this paper. A wide range of SDR methods are characterized as inverse regression SDR estimators or forward regression SDR estimators. The inverse regression family include pooled marginal estimators, projective resampling estimators, and distance-based estimators. Ordinary least squares, partial least squares, and semiparametric SDR estimators, on the other hand, are discussed as estimators from the forward regression family.
Tutorial: a priori estimation of sample size, effect size, and statistical power for cluster analysis, latent class analysis, and multivariate mixture models
School of Psychological Science, University of Bristol（布里斯托大学心理科学学院）
Conditional Variance Estimation (CVE) is a novel sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) method for additive error regressions with continuous predictors and link function. It operates under the assumption that the predictors can be replaced by a lower dimensional projection without loss of information. In contrast to the majority of moment based sufficient dimension reduction methods, Conditional Variance Estimation is fully data driven, does not require the restrictive linearity and constant variance conditions, and is not based on inverse regression. CVE is shown to be consistent and its objec…
Moment-based sufficient dimension reduction methods such as sliced inverse regression may not work well in the presence of heteroscedasticity. We propose to first estimate the expectiles through kernel expectile regression, and then carry out dimension reduction based on random projections of the regression expectiles. Several popular inverse regression methods in the literature are extended under this general framework. The proposed expectile-assisted methods outperform existing moment-based dimension reduction methods in both numerical studies and an analysis of the Big Mac data.
Whereas translating the coding of predictor variables does not change the fit of a polynomial least squares regression, penalized polynomial regressions are potentially affected. A result on which terms can be penalized to maintain the invariance to translations of the coding has earlier been published. A generalization of a corresponding proposition, which requires a more precise mathematical framework, is presented in this short note.
We in this paper propose a directional regression based approach for ultrahigh dimensional sufficient variable screening with censored responses. The new method is designed in a model-free manner and thus can be adapted to various complex model structures. Under some commonly used assumptions, we show that the proposed method enjoys the sure screening property when the dimension p diverges at an exponential rate of the sample size n. To improve the marginal screening method, the corresponding iterative screening algorithm and stability screening algorithm are further equipped. We demonstrate t…
We consider the problem of supervised dimension reduction with a particular focus on extreme values of the target $Y\in\mathbb{R}$ to be explained by a covariate vector $X \in \mathbb{R}^p$. The general purpose is to define and estimate a projection on a lower dimensional subspace of the covariate space which is sufficient for predicting exceedances of the target above high thresholds. We propose an original definition of Tail Conditional Independence which matches this purpose. Inspired by Sliced Inverse Regression (SIR) methods, we develop a novel framework (TIREX, Tail Inverse Regression fo…
With the rapid development of data collection techniques, complex data objects that are not in the Euclidean space are frequently encountered in new statistical applications. Fréchet regression model (Peterson & Müller 2019) provides a promising framework for regression analysis with metric space-valued responses. In this paper, we introduce a flexible sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) method for Fréchet regression to achieve two purposes: to mitigate the curse of dimensionality caused by high-dimensional predictors and to provide a visual inspection tool for Fréchet regression. Our approac…
We present a forward sufficient dimension reduction method for categorical or ordinal responses by extending the outer product of gradients and minimum average variance estimator to multinomial generalized linear model. Previous work in this direction extend forward regression to binary responses, and are applied in a pairwise manner to multinomial data, which is less efficient than our approach. Like other forward regression-based sufficient dimension reduction methods, our approach avoids the relatively stringent distributional requirements necessary for inverse regression alternatives. We s…
Ensemble Conditional Variance Estimation (ECVE) is a novel sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) method in regressions with continuous response and predictors. ECVE applies to general non-additive error regression models. It operates under the assumption that the predictors can be replaced by a lower dimensional projection without loss of information. It is a semiparametric forward regression model based exhaustive sufficient dimension reduction estimation method that is shown to be consistent under mild assumptions. It is shown to outperform central subspace mean average variance estimation (c…
We typically construct optimal designs based on a single objective function. To better capture the breadth of an experiment's goals, we could instead construct a multiple objective optimal design based on multiple objective functions. While algorithms have been developed to find multi-objective optimal designs (e.g. efficiency-constrained and maximin optimal designs), it is far less clear how to verify the optimality of a solution obtained from an algorithm. In this paper, we provide theoretical results characterizing optimality for efficiency-constrained and maximin optimal designs on a discr…
We consider forecasting a single time series when there is a large number of predictors and a possible nonlinear effect. The dimensionality was first reduced via a high-dimensional (approximate) factor model implemented by the principal component analysis. Using the extracted factors, we develop a novel forecasting method called the sufficient forecasting, which provides a set of sufficient predictive indices, inferred from high-dimensional predictors, to deliver additional predictive power. The projected principal component analysis will be employed to enhance the accuracy of inferred factors…
In this paper optimal experimental designs for inverse quadratic regression models are determined. We consider two different parameterizations of the model and investigate local optimal designs with respect to the $c$-, $D$- and $E$-criteria, which reflect various aspects of the precision of the maximum likelihood estimator for the parameters in inverse quadratic regression models. In particular it is demonstrated that for a sufficiently large design space geometric allocation rules are optimal with respect to many optimality criteria. Moreover, in numerous cases the designs with respect to th…
Methods for global measurement of transcript abundance such as microarrays and RNA-Seq generate datasets in which the number of measured features far exceeds the number of observations. Extracting biologically meaningful and experimentally tractable insights from such data therefore requires high-dimensional prediction. Existing sparse linear approaches to this challenge have been stunningly successful, but some important issues remain. These methods can fail to select the correct features, predict poorly relative to non-sparse alternatives, or ignore any unknown grouping structures for the fe…
Sliced inverse regression (SIR) is the most widely-used sufficient dimension reduction method due to its simplicity, generality and computational efficiency. However, when the distribution of the covariates deviates from the multivariate normal distribution, the estimation efficiency of SIR is rather low. In this paper, we propose a robust alternative to SIR - called elliptical sliced inverse regression (ESIR) for analysing high dimensional, elliptically distributed data. There are wide range of applications of the elliptically distributed data, especially in finance and economics where the di…
Dimension reduction lies at the heart of many statistical methods. In regression, dimension reduction has been linked to the notion of sufficiency whereby the relation of the response to a set of predictors is explained by a lower dimensional subspace in the predictor space. In this paper, we consider the notion of a dimension reduction in regression on subspaces that are sufficient to explain interaction effects between predictors and another variable of interest. The motivation for this work is from precision medicine where the performance of an individualized treatment rule, given a set of …
The application of standard sufficient dimension reduction methods for reducing the dimension space of predictors without losing regression information requires inverting the covariance matrix of the predictors. This has posed a number of challenges especially when analyzing high-dimensional data sets in which the number of predictors $\mathit{p}$ is much larger than number of samples $n,~(n\ll p)$. A new covariance estimator, called the \textit{Maximum Entropy Covariance} (MEC) that addresses loss of covariance information when similar covariance matrices are linearly combined using \textit{M…
This paper rigorously establishes that the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic regression models with Gaussian covariates undergoes a sharp `phase transition'. We introduce an explicit boundary curve $h_{\text{MLE}}$, parameterized by two scalars measuring the overall magnitude of the unknown sequence of regression coefficients, with the following property: in the limit of large sample sizes $n$ and number of features $p$ proportioned in such a way that $p/n \rightarrow κ$, we show that if the problem is sufficiently high dimensional in the sense tha…
Sufficient dimension reduction aims for reduction of dimensionality of a regression without loss of information by replacing the original predictor with its lower-dimensional subspace. Partial (sufficient) dimension reduction arises when the predictors naturally fall into two sets, X and W, and we seek dimension reduction on X alone while considering all predictors in the regression analysis. Though partial dimension reduction is a very general problem, only very few research results are available when W is continuous. To the best of our knowledge, these methods generally perform poorly when X…
Sliced inverse regression is one of the most popular sufficient dimension reduction methods. Originally, it was designed for independent and identically distributed data and recently extend to the case of serially and spatially dependent data. In this work we extend it to the case of spatially dependent data where the response might depend also on neighbouring covariates when the observations are taken on a grid-like structure as it is often the case in econometric spatial regression applications. We suggest guidelines on how to decide upon the dimension of the subspace of interest and also wh…
This paper considers inference on fixed effects in a linear regression model estimated from network data. An important special case of our setup is the two-way regression model. This is a workhorse technique in the analysis of matched data sets, such as employer-employee or student-teacher panel data. We formalize how the structure of the network affects the accuracy with which the fixed effects can be estimated. This allows us to derive sufficient conditions on the network for consistent estimation and asymptotically-valid inference to be possible. Estimation of moments is also considered. We…
SDRcausal is a package that implements sufficient dimension reduction methods for causal inference as proposed in Ghosh, Ma, and de Luna (2021). The package implements (augmented) inverse probability weighting and outcome regression (imputation) estimators of an average treatment effect (ATE) parameter. Nuisance models, both treatment assignment probability given the covariates (propensity score) and outcome regression models, are fitted by using semiparametric locally efficient dimension reduction estimators, thereby allowing for large sets of confounding covariates. Techniques including line…
