arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2110.08030cs.LG
收藏

Identifying Incorrect Classifications with Balanced Uncertainty

Tianjin University(天津大学);The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen(香港中文大学(深圳))

Bolian Li, Zige Zheng, Changqing Zhang

英文摘要:

Uncertainty estimation is critical for cost-sensitive deep-learning applications (i.e. disease diagnosis). It is very challenging partly due to the inaccessibility of uncertainty groundtruth in most datasets. Previous works proposed to estimate the uncertainty from softmax calibration, Monte Carlo sampling, subjective logic and so on. However, these existing methods tend to be over-confident about their predictions with unreasonably low overall uncertainty, which originates from the imbalance between positive (correct classifications) and negative (incorrect classifications) samples. For this issue, we firstly propose the distributional imbalance to model the imbalance in uncertainty estimation as two kinds of distribution biases, and secondly propose Balanced True Class Probability (BTCP) framework, which learns an uncertainty estimator with a novel Distributional Focal Loss (DFL) objective. Finally, we evaluate the BTCP in terms of failure prediction and out-of-distribution (OOD) detection on multiple datasets. The experimental results show that BTCP outperforms other uncertainty estimation methods especially in identifying incorrect classifications.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑