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arXiv 2109.08183cs.HC
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预测模型中的信任:领域专长影响的混合方法初探

Trust in Prediction Models: a Mixed-Methods Pilot Study on the Impact of Domain Expertise

Jeroen Ooge, Katrien Verbert

摘要:

人们对预测模型的信任可能会受到许多因素的影响,包括领域专业知识,如关于应用领域的知识和预测建模的经验。然而,在何种程度上以及为什么领域专长影响人们的信任并不完全清楚。此外,准确衡量人们的信任仍然具有挑战性。我们分享了一项探索性试点研究的结果和经验,其中四个有预测建模经验的人系统地探索了一个具有未知预测模型的可视化分析系统。通过一个混合的方法,涉及Likert类型的问题和半结构化的采访,我们调查人们的信任如何演变过程中的探索,我们将影响他们的信任的预测模型的六个主题。我们的研究结果强调了信任的多方面性质,并表明,领域的专业知识本身不能完全预测人们的信任观念。

英文摘要:

People's trust in prediction models can be affected by many factors, including domain expertise like knowledge about the application domain and experience with predictive modelling. However, to what extent and why domain expertise impacts people's trust is not entirely clear. In addition, accurately measuring people's trust remains challenging. We share our results and experiences of an exploratory pilot study in which four people experienced with predictive modelling systematically explore a visual analytics system with an unknown prediction model. Through a mixed-methods approach involving Likert-type questions and a semi-structured interview, we investigate how people's trust evolves during their exploration, and we distil six themes that affect their trust in the prediction model. Our results underline the multi-faceted nature of trust, and suggest that domain expertise alone cannot fully predict people's trust perceptions.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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