巴巴多斯100%可再生能源系统方案的开源建模，包括岸到船电力和电动汽车
Open source modelling of scenarios for a 100% renewable energy system in Barbados incorporating shore-to-ship power and electric vehicles
摘要：
巴巴多斯高度依赖进口燃料，具有减缓气候变化和实现经济多样化的潜力，因此对巴巴多斯的能源系统进行详细的转型分析特别有意义。一个开源的能源系统模型在这里提出了未来的巴巴多斯能源系统的分析。该模型应用于情景分析，使用绿地方法，调查成本最优和100%可再生能源系统配置。在这些设想方案中，模拟了通过岸对船供电实现私人乘用车和游轮电气化的情况，以评估其对能源系统的影响和对储存的必要投资。结果表明，对于2030年系统的大多数场景，即使需求不断增长，在成本最优的情况下，可再生能源的份额也超过80%。在成本最优的情况下，该系统的平准化电力成本范围为0.17至0.36 BBD/kWh，对于100%可再生能源系统仅适度增加。在光伏投资成本降低的合理假设下，100%系统的系统成本可能低于当前成本。结果表明，抽水蓄能是巴巴多斯电力系统设计的无悔选择。总体而言，研究结果突出了可再生能源的巨大潜力，以及巴巴多斯100%可再生能源系统的技术和经济可行性。
英文摘要：
The high dependence on imported fuels and the potential for both climate change mitigation and economic diversification make Barbados' energy system particularly interesting for detailed transformation analysis. An open source energy system model is presented here for the analysis of a future Barbadian energy system. The model was applied in a scenario analysis, using a greenfield approach, to investigate cost-optimal and 100% renewable energy system configurations. Within the scenarios, the electrification of private passenger vehicles and cruise ships through shore-to-ship power supply was modelled to assess its impact on the energy system and the necessary investment in storage. Results show that for most scenarios of a system in 2030, a renewable energy share of over 80% is achieved in cost-optimal cases, even with a growing demand. The system's levelised costs of electricity range from 0.17 to 0.36 BBD/kWh in the cost-optimal scenarios and increase only moderately for 100% renewable systems. Under the reasonable assumption of decreasing photovoltaic investment costs, system costs of a 100% system may be lower than the current costs. The results show that pumped hydro-storage is a no-regret option for the Barbadian power system design. Overall, the results highlight the great potential of renewable energy as well as the technical and economic feasibility of a 100% renewable energy system for Barbados.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
