土耳其2002-2019年古德温增长周期的经济物理学检验
Testing the Goodwin Growth Cycles with Econophysics Approach in 2002-2019 Period in Turkey
摘要：
2002-2019年期间的土耳其经济已经在经济物理方法中进行了研究。根据家庭预算调查获得的个人收入数据，得出了每年的Gompertz-Pareto分布和上述期间的Goodwin周期。在这一时期，在一党统治下举行了13次选举，据观察，收入分配与Gompertz-Pareto分布非常吻合，表明土耳其经济的两级结构。得到了区分这两类的阈值$x_t$和Pareto系数的变化规律。此外，在此期间还观察到了以$(u,v)\cong (66.30,83.40)$为中心，周期为$T=18.30$年的古德温循环。得出的结论是，这些意见与所述期间经历的经济和社会事件是一致的。
英文摘要：
The Turkish economy between 2002-2019 period has been investigated within the econophysical approach. From the individual income data obtained from the Household Budget Survey, the Gompertz-Pareto distribution for each year and Goodwin cycle for the mentioned period have been obtained. For this period, in which thirteen elections were held under the single-party rule, it has been observed that the income distribution fits well with the Gompertz-Pareto distribution which shows the two-class structure of the Turkish economy. The variation of the threshold value $x_t$ (which separates these two classes) as well as Pareto coefficient have been obtained. Besides, Goodwin cycle has been observed within this period, centered at $(u,v)\cong (66.30,83.40)$ and a period of $T=18.30$ years. It has been concluded that these observations are consistent with the economic and social events experienced in the mentioned period.
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