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arXiv 2104.14737math.STecon.EMstat.TH
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通过Riesz回归的自动去偏机器学习

Automatic Debiased Machine Learning via Riesz Regression

Victor Chernozhukov, Whitney K. Newey, Victor Quintas-Martinez, Vasilis Syrgkanis

AI总结:

本文提出自动去偏机器学习方法,通过Riesz回归估计Riesz表示器,适用于任意机器学习器,实现端到端去偏,并给出理论保证与实证验证。

摘要:

多种有趣的参数可能依赖于高维回归。机器学习可用于估计此类参数。然而,基于机器学习器的估计器可能因正则化和/或模型选择而产生严重偏差。去偏机器学习使用Neyman正交估计方程来减少此类偏差。去偏机器学习通常需要估计未知的Riesz表示器。本文的一个主要创新是提供依赖于感兴趣参数而非显式公式的Riesz回归估计器,并且可以采用任何机器学习器,包括神经网络和随机森林。端到端算法应运而生,其中研究者选择感兴趣的参数和机器学习器,去偏自动进行。另一个创新是依赖于广义回归(包括高维广义线性模型)的参数的去偏机器学习器。给出了使用神经网络的自动去偏机器学习的实证示例。我们在蒙特卡洛示例中发现,自动去偏有时优于通过逆倾向得分的去偏,且从不更差。还给出了Riesz回归估计器的有限样本均方误差界和渐近理论。

英文摘要:

A variety of interesting parameters may depend on high dimensional regressions. Machine learning can be used to estimate such parameters. However estimators based on machine learners can be severely biased by regularization and/or model selection. Debiased machine learning uses Neyman orthogonal estimating equations to reduce such biases. Debiased machine learning generally requires estimation of unknown Riesz representers. A primary innovation of this paper is to provide Riesz regression estimators of Riesz representers that depend on the parameter of interest, rather than explicit formulae, and that can employ any machine learner, including neural nets and random forests. End-to-end algorithms emerge where the researcher chooses the parameter of interest and the machine learner and the debiasing follows automatically. Another innovation here is debiased machine learners of parameters depending on generalized regressions, including high-dimensional generalized linear models. An empirical example of automatic debiased machine learning using neural nets is given. We find in Monte Carlo examples that automatic debiasing sometimes performs better than debiasing via inverse propensity scores and never worse. Finite sample mean square error bounds for Riesz regression estimators and asymptotic theory are also given.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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