A variety of interesting parameters may depend on high dimensional regressions. Machine learning can be used to estimate such parameters. However estimators based on machine learners can be severely biased by regularization and/or model selection. Debiased machine learning uses Neyman orthogonal estimating equations to reduce such biases. Debiased machine learning generally requires estimation of unknown Riesz representers. A primary innovation of this paper is to provide Riesz regression estimators of Riesz representers that depend on the parameter of interest, rather than explicit formulae, and that can employ any machine learner, including neural nets and random forests. End-to-end algorithms emerge where the researcher chooses the parameter of interest and the machine learner and the debiasing follows automatically. Another innovation here is debiased machine learners of parameters depending on generalized regressions, including high-dimensional generalized linear models. An empirical example of automatic debiased machine learning using neural nets is given. We find in Monte Carlo examples that automatic debiasing sometimes performs better than debiasing via inverse propensity scores and never worse. Finite sample mean square error bounds for Riesz regression estimators and asymptotic theory are also given.
Fisher Random Walk: Automatic Debiasing Contextual Preference Inference for Large Language Model Evaluation
Department of Statistics, Indiana University Bloomington(印第安纳大学布卢明顿分校统计学系);Fuqua School of Business, Duke University(杜克大学福克商学院);Department of Biostatistics & Bioinformatics, Duke University(杜克大学生物统计学与生物信息学系);Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health(哈佛大学T.H. Chan公共卫生学院生物统计学系)