To interpret uncertainty estimates from differentiable probabilistic models, recent work has proposed generating Counterfactual Latent Uncertainty Explanations (CLUEs). However, for a single input, such approaches could output a variety of explanations due to the lack of constraints placed on the explanation. Here we augment the original CLUE approach, to provide what we call $δ$-CLUE. CLUE indicates $\it{one}$ way to change an input, while remaining on the data manifold, such that the model becomes more confident about its prediction. We instead return a $\it{set}$ of plausible CLUEs: multiple, diverse inputs that are within a $δ$ ball of the original input in latent space, all yielding confident predictions.
CLUE: Neural Networks Calibration via Learning Uncertainty-Error alignment
Software and Societal Systems Department, Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学软件与社会系统部门);INESC-ID and Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa(里斯本大学INESC-ID和理工学院)
Uncertainty Gating for Cost-Aware Explainable Artificial Intelligence
Leibniz Institute for Agricultural Engineering and Bioeconomy (ATB)(莱布尼茨农业工程与生物经济研究所);BIFOLD -- Berlin Institute for the Foundations of Learning and Data(柏林学习与数据基础研究所);Charité -- Universitätsmedizin Berlin(柏林夏里特医学院);University of Potsdam -- Department of Computational Science(波茨坦大学计算科学系)
Uncertainty Estimation and Out-of-Distribution Detection for Counterfactual Explanations: Pitfalls and Solutions
University College Dublin(都柏林大学学院);Insight Centre for Data Analytics(洞察数据分析中心);VistaMilk SFI Research Centre(VistaMilk SFI研究中心)
虽然最近已经提出了丰富的技术来生成不透明的黑盒系统的预测的反事实的解释,显着较少的注意力已经支付到探索这些生成的解释的不确定性。这在高风险场景中成为一个关键问题,在这种场景中,不确定和误导性的解释可能会产生可怕的后果(例如,医疗诊断和治疗计划)。此外,通常难以确定所生成的解释是否在训练数据中有良好的基础并且对分布偏移敏感。本文提出了几种实用的解决方案,可以通过与其他研究作品在可解释性方面建立新的联系来解决这些问题(例如,信任分数)和不确定性估计(例如,Monte Carlo Dropout)。两个实验证明了我们提出的解决方案的实用性。
Uncertainty Quantification as a Principled Foundation for Explainable Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study of Counterfactual Explanations
Department of Informatics, USI Lugano(乌里大学信息学院);Department of Computer Science, ETH Zurich(苏黎世联邦理工学院计算机科学系);Institute of Informatics, LMU Munich(慕尼黑大学信息研究所)
Why Uncertainty Calibration Matters for Reliable Perturbation-based Explanations
Siemens AG(西门子公司);LMU Munich(慕尼黑大学);Munich Center for Machine Learning (MCML)(慕尼黑机器学习中心);Goethe University Frankfurt(法兰克福歌德大学);German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)(德国癌症研究中心);German Cancer Consortium (DKTK)(德国癌症联合会)
Improving Perturbation-based Explanations by Understanding the Role of Uncertainty Calibration
Siemens AG(西门子股份公司);LMU Munich(慕尼黑大学);Munich Center for Machine Learning (MCML)(慕尼黑机器学习中心);Goethe University Frankfurt(法兰克福歌德大学);German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)(德国癌症研究中心);German Cancer Consortium (DKTK)(德国癌症联合会)
QUCE: The Minimisation and Quantification of Path-Based Uncertainty for Generative Counterfactual Explanations
School of Mathematics and Computer Science(数学与计算机科学学院);Swansea University(斯旺西大学);Department of Finance, Insurance and Real Estate(金融、保险与房地产系);Université Laval(拉瓦尔大学);Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine(李科珍医学院);School of Computer Science and Engineering(计算机科学与工程学院);Nanyang Technological University(南洋理工大学)
Post-Hoc Uncertainty-Aware Explanations for Deployed Power Quality Disturbance Classifiers via Laplace Approximation
School of Engineering, Deakin University(德肯大学工程学院);ARC Training Centre in Energy Technologies for Future Grids, School of Engineering, University of Wollongong(未来电网能源技术培训中心,沃尔灵宗大学工程学院)
Identifying Drivers of Predictive Aleatoric Uncertainty
Hasso Plattner Institute(霍普夫纳研究所);Digital Engineering Faculty(数字工程学院);University of Potsdam(波茨坦大学);Freie Universität Berlin(柏林自由大学);Department of Mathematics and Computer Science(数学与计算机科学系);Hasso Plattner Institute for Digital Health at Mount Sinai(辛克尔医学院霍普夫纳数字健康研究所);Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai(辛克尔医学院)
Explainable Uncertainty Estimation for Reliable Medical AI
College of Computing and Data Science (CCDS)(计算与数据科学学院);Nanyang Technological University (NTU)(南洋理工大学);A*STAR Centre for Frontier AI Research(新加坡科技研究局前沿人工智能研究中心);School Of Computing and Digital Technologies(计算与数字技术学院);Sheffield Hallam University(谢菲尔德哈勒姆大学);School of Computing(计算机学院);University of Utah(犹他大学);Tan Tock Seng Hospital (TTSH)(陈笃生医院);Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine(李光前医学院)
Uncertainty-Aware Explanations Through Probabilistic Self-Explainable Neural Networks
Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU(计算机科学与人工智能系,巴斯克国家大学UPV/EHU);Basque Center for Applied Mathematics (BCAM)(巴斯克应用数学中心);Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford(计算机科学系,牛津大学)
Perception-Aligned AI Outputs: End-to-End Visual Prediction for Uncertainty Communication in Clinical Decision-Making
Harvard Ophthalmology AI Lab(哈佛眼科人工智能实验室);Schepens Eye Research Institute of Massachusetts Eye and Ear(马萨诸塞眼耳医院施佩恩眼科研究所);Harvard Medical School(哈佛医学院);Center for Advanced Technology and Education(先进教育技术中心);Florida International University(佛罗里达国际大学);Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice(达特茅斯健康政策与临床实践研究所);Dartmouth College(达特茅斯学院);Computer Aided Medical Procedures(医学辅助程序);Technical University of Munich(慕尼黑技术大学);Singapore Eye Research Institute(新加坡眼科研究所);Singapore National Eye Centre(新加坡国家眼科中心);Department of Ophthalmology, Byers Eye Institute, Stanford University(眼科部门,比尔斯眼科研究所,斯坦福大学)
A Soft Sensor Method with Uncertainty-Awareness and Self-Explanation Based on Large Language Models Enhanced by Domain Knowledge Retrieval
School of Automation and Information Engineering, Xi’an University of Technology(西安理工大学自动化与信息工程学院);Concordia Institute of Aerospace Design and Innovation(康考迪亚航空航天设计与创新研究所)
Improving Counterfactual Truthfulness for Molecular Property Prediction through Uncertainty Quantification
Institute of Theoretical Informatics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology(卡尔斯鲁厄理工学院理论信息学研究所);Institute of Nanotechnology, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology(卡尔斯鲁厄理工学院纳米技术研究所)
A Unified Framework for Uncertainty-Aware Explainable Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study in Power Quality Disturbance Classification
School of Engineering, Deakin University(德肯大学工程学院);Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science, FernUniversität in Hagen(哈根应用科学大学数学与计算机科学学院);Department of Computing Technologies, Swinburne University of Technology(斯威本科技大学计算技术学院)