arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv周末暂无论文更新,休息一下吧,周末愉快~~
arXiv 2104.02287cs.AIcs.LOmath.LO
收藏

比较概率推理的优先结构

Preferential Structures for Comparative Probabilistic Reasoning

University of California, Berkeley(加州大学伯克利分校);Stanford University(斯坦福大学)

Matthew Harrison-Trainor, Wesley H. Holliday, Thomas F. Icard

摘要:

对不确定性进行推理的定性和定量方法可能会导致不同的逻辑系统来形式化这种推理,即使表达不确定性的语言是相同的。在关于相对似然性的推理的情况下,使用$φ\succsimψ$形式的陈述来表达$φ$至少与$ψ$一样可能,使用预定优先结构的标准定性方法产生与使用概率度量的定量方法截然不同的逻辑系统。事实上,标准的偏好方法验证了从概率的角度来看是不正确的推理原则。然而,在本文中,我们表明,一个自然的修改优惠的方法产生完全相同的逻辑系统作为一个概率的方法-不使用单一的概率措施,而是一套概率措施。因此,在非单调逻辑和信念修正的研究中使用的相同的优先结构可以用于基于不精确概率的比较概率推理的研究。

英文摘要:

Qualitative and quantitative approaches to reasoning about uncertainty can lead to different logical systems for formalizing such reasoning, even when the language for expressing uncertainty is the same. In the case of reasoning about relative likelihood, with statements of the form $φ\succsimψ$ expressing that $φ$ is at least as likely as $ψ$, a standard qualitative approach using preordered preferential structures yields a dramatically different logical system than a quantitative approach using probability measures. In fact, the standard preferential approach validates principles of reasoning that are incorrect from a probabilistic point of view. However, in this paper we show that a natural modification of the preferential approach yields exactly the same logical system as a probabilistic approach--not using single probability measures, but rather sets of probability measures. Thus, the same preferential structures used in the study of non-monotonic logics and belief revision may be used in the study of comparative probabilistic reasoning based on imprecise probabilities.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑