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arXiv 2104.02037stat.ME
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多水平计算机序贯试验设计的自适应策略

An adaptive strategy for sequential designs of multilevel computer experiments

Ayao Ehara, Serge Guillas

摘要:

在计算机模拟中调查不确定性在计算成本方面可能是令人望而却步的,因为模拟器需要在大量输入值上运行。构建仿真器,即使用由相对少量的正向求解器的评估组成的实验设计构建的仿真器的统计代理模型,极大地减轻了进行这种调查的计算负担。尽管如此,这仍然可能高于许多研究的计算预算。两种主要的方法已被用来减少所需的预算,以建立仿真器:有效的实验设计,如顺序设计,并结合训练数据的复杂程度不同,在所谓的多保真度的方法,或多层次的情况下,这些复杂性通常是为了增加分辨率。在这里,我们提出了一种新的方法,结合这两种方法,多级自适应顺序设计的计算机实验(MLASCE)的框架内的高斯过程(GP)仿真器。我们利用再生核希尔伯特空间作为我们的GP近似的两个连续水平之间的差异的工具。这种双重策略使我们能够有效地分配有限的计算资源,在不同级别的保真度的模拟,并建立GP仿真器。计算资源的分配被证明是一个简单的优化问题的解决方案,在一个特殊的情况下,我们从理论上证明了我们的方法的有效性。我们提出的方法进行了比较与其他现有的模型的多保真度高斯过程仿真。在精度或计算预算的数量级的增益证明在一些数值例子中的一些设置。

英文摘要:

Investigating uncertainties in computer simulations can be prohibitive in terms of computational costs, since the simulator needs to be run over a large number of input values. Building an emulator, i.e. a statistical surrogate model of the simulator constructed using a design of experiments made of a comparatively small number of evaluations of the forward solver, greatly alleviates the computational burden to carry out such investigations. Nevertheless, this can still be above the computational budget for many studies. Two major approaches have been used to reduce the budget needed to build the emulator: efficient design of experiments, such as sequential designs, and combining training data of different degrees of sophistication in a so-called multi-fidelity method, or multilevel in case these fidelities are ordered typically for increasing resolutions. We present here a novel method that combines both approaches, the multilevel adaptive sequential design of computer experiments (MLASCE) in the framework of Gaussian process (GP) emulators. We make use of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces as a tool for our GP approximations of the differences between two consecutive levels. This dual strategy allows us to allocate efficiently limited computational resources over simulations of different levels of fidelity and build the GP emulator. The allocation of computational resources is shown to be the solution of a simple optimization problem in a special case where we theoretically prove the validity of our approach. Our proposed method is compared with other existing models of multi-fidelity Gaussian process emulation. Gains in orders of magnitudes in accuracy or computing budgets are demonstrated in some of numerical examples for some settings.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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