出版物评估的知情同行评审：改进的影响措施值得麻烦吗？
Informed peer review for publication assessments: Are improved impact measures worth the hassle?
摘要：
在这项工作中，我们问是否以及在多大程度上应用预测出版物的影响比早期引用，对评估个人科学家的研究表现的影响。具体来说，我们衡量意大利教授在科学和经济学在一段时间内的总影响力，首先通过早期引用来评估他们的出版物，然后通过早期引用和主办期刊影响因子的加权组合来评估他们的出版物。正如预期的那样，这两个指标的得分和排名显示出很强的相关性，但在许多领域也发生了重大变化，主要是在经济学和统计学，以及数学和计算机科学。一个领域中未被引用的教授的比例越高，引用时间窗口越短，就越容易求助于上述组合。
英文摘要：
In this work we ask whether and to what extent applying a predictor of publications' impact better than early citations, has an effect on the assessment of research performance of individual scientists. Specifically, we measure the total impact of Italian professors in the sciences and economics in a period of time, valuing their publications first by early citations and then by a weighted combination of early citations and impact factor of the hosting journal. As expected, scores and ranks by the two indicators show a very strong correlation, but there occur also significant shifts in many fields, mainly in Economics and statistics, and Mathematics and computer science. The higher the share of uncited professors in a field and the shorter the citation time window, the more recommendable the recourse to the above combination.
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