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arXiv 2103.08829cs.CVcs.AIcs.LG
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间接自上而下的道路交通排放估算

Towards Indirect Top-Down Road Transport Emissions Estimation

Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory(约翰斯·霍普金斯大学应用物理实验室)

Ryan Mukherjee, Derek Rollend, Gordon Christie, Armin Hadzic, Sally Matson, Anshu Saksena, Marisa Hughes

摘要:

公路运输是影响气候变化的最大温室气体排放部门之一。全球社会应对气候变化将需要新的能力来衡量和清点道路运输排放。然而,车辆排放的大规模和分散性使这一部门对现有的清单方法特别具有挑战性。在这项工作中,我们开发了机器学习模型,该模型使用卫星图像对道路运输排放进行间接的自上而下的估计。我们最初的实验集中在美国,那里有一个自下而上的库存可用于训练我们的模型。我们实现了一个平均绝对误差(MAE)为39.5公斤的CO $_{2}$的年度道路运输排放量,在哨兵-2图像逐像素(100米$^{2}$)的基础上计算。我们还讨论了关键的模型假设和挑战,需要解决开发模型能够推广到全球地理。我们认为,这项工作是第一个使用视觉图像自动间接自上而下估计道路运输部门排放量的方法,是迈向可扩展的、全球性的、近实时的道路运输排放清单的关键一步,这些排放清单是独立和客观测量的。

英文摘要:

Road transportation is one of the largest sectors of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions affecting climate change. Tackling climate change as a global community will require new capabilities to measure and inventory road transport emissions. However, the large scale and distributed nature of vehicle emissions make this sector especially challenging for existing inventory methods. In this work, we develop machine learning models that use satellite imagery to perform indirect top-down estimation of road transport emissions. Our initial experiments focus on the United States, where a bottom-up inventory was available for training our models. We achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 39.5 kg CO$_{2}$ of annual road transport emissions, calculated on a pixel-by-pixel (100 m$^{2}$) basis in Sentinel-2 imagery. We also discuss key model assumptions and challenges that need to be addressed to develop models capable of generalizing to global geography. We believe this work is the first published approach for automated indirect top-down estimation of road transport sector emissions using visual imagery and represents a critical step towards scalable, global, near-real-time road transportation emissions inventories that are measured both independently and objectively.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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