Quantifying the value of the information extracted from a structural health monitoring (SHM) system is an important step towards convincing decision makers to implement these systems. We quantify this value by adaptation of the Bayesian decision analysis framework. In contrast to previous works, we model in detail the entire process of data generation to processing, model updating and reliability calculation, and investigate it on a deteriorating bridge system. The framework assumes that dynamic response data are obtained in a sequential fashion from deployed accelerometers, subsequently processed by an output-only operational modal analysis scheme for identifying the system's modal characteristics. We employ a classical Bayesian model updating methodology to sequentially learn the deterioration and estimate the structural damage evolution over time. This leads to sequential updating of the structural reliability, which constitutes the basis for a preposterior Bayesian decision analysis. Alternative actions are defined and a heuristic-based approach is employed for the life-cycle optimization. By solving the preposterior Bayesian decision analysis, one is able to quantify the benefit of the availability of long-term SHM vibrational data. Numerical investigations show that this framework can provide quantitative measures on the optimality of an SHM system in a specific decision context.
Progressive Bayesian Confidence Architectures for Cold-Start Personal Health Analytics: Formalizing Early Insight Through Posterior Contraction and Risk-Aware Interpretation
Adaptive Meta-Learning Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo Simulation for Bayesian Updating of Structural Dynamic Models
Key Lab of Smart Prevention and Mitigation of Civil Engineering Disasters of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China(工信部智能防灾减灾重点实验室,哈尔滨工业大学,哈尔滨,中国);Key Lab of Structures Dynamic Behavior and Control of the Ministry of Education, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China(教育部结构动力行为与控制重点实验室,哈尔滨工业大学,哈尔滨,中国);Division of Engineering and Applied Science, California Institute of Technology, CA, USA(加州理工学院工程与应用科学系,CA,美国)