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arXiv 2103.06863cond-mat.stat-mechphysics.soc-ph
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对SIR流行病学模型进行定量简化

Towards a quantitative reduction of the SIR epidemiological model

Matteo Colangeli, Adrian Muntean

摘要:

出于我们打算使用SIR型流行病学模型的背景下,提供了大规模的高度互动的非同质人群的动态网络,我们调查在这个框架中的可能性,以减少经典的SIR模型的一个代表性的进化模型,为一个适当选择的观察。对于选定的情况下,我们提供了实用的{ \em先验}之间的近似和原始观测误差界。最后,我们数值说明的行为相比,原来的减少模型。

英文摘要:

Motivated by our intention to use SIR-type epidemiological models in the context of dynamic networks as provided by large-scale highly interacting inhomogeneous human crowds, we investigate in this framework possibilities to reduce the classical SIR model to a representative evolution model for a suitably chosen observable. For selected scenarios, we provide practical {\em a priori} error bounds between the approximate and the original observables. Finally, we illustrate numerically the behavior of the reduced models compared to the original ones.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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