Social Network Analysis is the use of Network and Graph Theory to study social phenomena, which was found to be highly relevant in areas like Criminology. This chapter provides an overview of key methods and tools that may be used for the analysis of criminal networks, which are presented in a real-world case study. Starting from available juridical acts, we have extracted data on the interactions among suspects within two Sicilian Mafia clans, obtaining two weighted undirected graphs. Then, we have investigated the roles of these weights on the criminal network's properties, focusing on two key features: weight distribution and shortest path length. We also present an experiment that aims to construct an artificial network that mirrors criminal behaviours. To this end, we have conducted a comparative degree distribution analysis between the real criminal networks, using some of the most popular artificial network models: Watts-Strogatz, Erdős-Rényi, and Barabási-Albert, with some topology variations. This chapter will be a valuable tool for researchers who wish to employ social network analysis within their own area of interest.
Analysis of criminal networks is inherently difficult because of the nature of the topic. Criminal networks are covert and most of the information is not publicly available. This leads to small datasets available for analysis. The available criminal network datasets consists of entities, i.e. individual or organizations, which are linked to each other. The links between entities indicates that there is a connection between these entities such as involvement in the same criminal event, having commercial ties, and/or memberships in the same criminal organization. Because of incognito criminal ac…
The study of criminal networks using traces from heterogeneous communication media is acquiring increasing importance in nowadays society. The usage of communication media such as phone calls and online social networks leaves digital traces in the form of metadata that can be used for this type of analysis. The goal of this work is twofold: first we provide a theoretical framework for the problem of detecting and characterizing criminal organizations in networks reconstructed from phone call records. Then, we introduce an expert system to support law enforcement agencies in the task of unveili…
Tracing criminal ties and mining evidence from a large network to begin a crime case analysis has been difficult for criminal investigators due to large numbers of nodes and their complex relationships. In this paper, trust networks using blind carbon copy (BCC) emails were formed. We show that our new shortest paths network search algorithm combining shortest paths and network centrality measures can isolate and identify criminals' connections within a trust network. A group of BCC emails out of 1,887,305 Enron email transactions were isolated for this purpose. The algorithm uses two central …
Random walks simulate the randomness of objects, and are key instruments in various fields such as computer science, biology and physics. The counter part of classical random walks in quantum mechanics are the quantum walks. Quantum walk algorithms provide an exponential speedup over classical algorithms. Classical and quantum random walks can be applied in social network analysis, and can be used to define specific centrality metrics in terms of node occupation on single-layer and multilayer networks. In this paper, we applied these new centrality measures to three real criminal networks deri…
We model the hierarchical evolution of an organized criminal network via antagonistic recruitment and pursuit processes. Within the recruitment phase, a criminal kingpin enlists new members into the network, who in turn seek out other affiliates. New recruits are linked to established criminals according to a probability distribution that depends on the current network structure. At the same time, law enforcement agents attempt to dismantle the growing organization using pursuit strategies that initiate on the lower level nodes and that unfold as self-avoiding random walks. The global details …
Certain crimes are hardly committed by individuals but carefully organised by group of associates and affiliates loosely connected to each other with a single or small group of individuals coordinating the overall actions. A common starting point in understanding the structural organisation of criminal groups is to identify the criminals and their associates. Situations arise in many criminal datasets where there is no direct connection among the criminals. In this paper, we investigate ties and community structure in crime data in order to understand the operations of both traditional and cyb…
Extracting communities using existing community detection algorithms yields dense sub-networks that are difficult to analyse. Extracting a smaller sample that embodies the relationships of a list of suspects is an important part of the beginning of an investigation. In this paper, we present the efficacy of our shortest paths network search algorithm (SPNSA) that begins with an "algorithm feed", a small subset of nodes of particular interest, and builds an investigative sub-network. The algorithm feed may consist of known criminals or suspects, or persons of influence. This sets our approach a…
Recent research on finding important intermediate nodes in a network suspected to contain criminal activity is highly dependent on network centrality values. Betweenness centrality, for example, is widely used to rank the nodes that act as brokers in the shortest paths connecting all source and all the end nodes in a network. However both the shortest path node betweenness and the linearly scaled betweenness can only show rankings for all the nodes in a network. In this paper we explore the mathematical concept of pair-dependency on intermediate nodes, adapting the concept to criminal relation…
Universidade Estadual de Maringá(马林加州立大学);Rio Grande do Sul Superintendency, Brazilian Federal Police(巴西联邦警察南里奥格兰德州监管局);National Police Academy, Brazilian Federal Police(巴西联邦警察国家警察学院);Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul(南里奥格兰德联邦大学);Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa(蓬塔格罗萨州立大学);Nottingham Trent University(诺丁汉特伦特大学);University of Maribor(马里博尔大学);China Medical University Hospital, China Medical University(中国医药大学附设医院);Alma Mater Europaea(欧洲母校大学);Complexity Science Hub Vienna(维也纳复杂性科学中心)
Recent research has shown that criminal networks have complex organizational structures, but whether this can be used to predict static and dynamic properties of criminal networks remains little explored. Here, by combining graph representation learning and machine learning methods, we show that structural properties of political corruption, police intelligence, and money laundering networks can be used to recover missing criminal partnerships, distinguish among different types of criminal and legal associations, as well as predict the total amount of money exchanged among criminal agents, all…
Idiap Research Institute(伊迪亚普研究院);Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL)(洛桑联邦理工学院)
Criminal investigations mostly rely on the collection of speech conversational data in order to identify speakers and build or enrich an existing criminal network. Social network analysis tools are then applied to identify the most central characters and the different communities within the network. We introduce two candidate datasets for criminal conversational data, Crime Scene Investigation (CSI), a television show, and the ROXANNE simulated data. We also introduce the metric of conversation accuracy in the context of criminal investigations. By re-ranking candidate speakers based on the fr…
Data collected in criminal investigations may suffer from: (i) incompleteness, due to the covert nature of criminal organisations; (ii) incorrectness, caused by either unintentional data collection errors and intentional deception by criminals; (iii) inconsistency, when the same information is collected into law enforcement databases multiple times, or in different formats. In this paper we analyse nine real criminal networks of different nature (i.e., Mafia networks, criminal street gangs and terrorist organizations) in order to quantify the impact of incomplete data and to determine which ne…
In the fight against the racketeering and terrorism, knowledge about the structure and the organization of criminal networks is of fundamental importance for both the investigations and the development of efficient strategies to prevent and restrain crimes. Intelligence agencies exploit information obtained from the analysis of large amounts of heterogeneous data deriving from various informative sources including the records of phone traffic, the social networks, surveillance data, interview data, experiential police data, and police intelligence files, to acquire knowledge about criminal net…
Gang violence is a major problem in the United States accounting for a large fraction of homicides and other violent crime. In this paper, we study the problem of early identification of violent gang members. Our approach relies on modified centrality measures that take into account additional data of the individuals in the social network of co-arrestees which together with other arrest metadata provide a rich set of features for a classification algorithm. We show our approach obtains high precision and recall (0.89 and 0.78 respectively) in the case where the entire network is known and out-…
In this paper we present the results of the study of Sicilian Mafia organization by using Social Network Analysis. The study investigates the network structure of a Mafia organization, describing its evolution and highlighting its plasticity to interventions targeting membership and its resilience to disruption caused by police operations. We analyze two different datasets about Mafia gangs built by examining different digital trails and judicial documents spanning a period of ten years: the former dataset includes the phone contacts among suspected individuals, the latter is constituted by th…
Compared to other types of social networks, criminal networks present hard challenges, due to their strong resilience to disruption, which poses severe hurdles to law-enforcement agencies. Herein, we borrow methods and tools from Social Network Analysis to (i) unveil the structure of Sicilian Mafia gangs, based on two real-world datasets, and (ii) gain insights as to how to efficiently disrupt them. Mafia networks have peculiar features, due to the links distribution and strength, which makes them very different from other social networks, and extremely robust to exogenous perturbations. Analy…
It is estimated that Italian Mafias registered 135 billion euros in profits only in 2010. Part of this huge amount of money, coming mostly from the drugs, prostitution and arms illicit markets, is often used to invest into legitimate private economies. As a consequence, the affected economies destabilise, become entrenched with violent forms of competition and are bound to stagnation. Nonetheless, few are the attempts to uncover the patterns followed by criminal organisations in their business ventures. The reason lays mostly in the poor availability of data on criminal activity, or in the hig…
In the context of preventing and fighting crime, the analysis of mobile phone traffic, among actors of a criminal network, is helpful in order to reconstruct illegal activities on the base of the relationships connecting those specific individuals. Thus, forensic analysts and investigators require new advanced tools and techniques which allow them to manage these data in a meaningful and efficient way. In this paper we present LogAnalysis, a tool we developed to provide visual data representation and filtering, statistical analysis features and the possibility of a temporal analysis of mobile …
Recently, Social Network Analysis studies have led to an improvement and to a generalization of existing tools to networks with multiple subsystems and layers of connectivity. These kind of networks are usually called multilayer networks. Multilayer networks in which each layer shares at least one node with some other layer in the network are called multiplex networks. Being a multiplex network does not require all nodes to exist on every layer. In this paper, we built a criminal multiplex network which concerns an anti-mafia operation called "Montagna" and it is based on the examination of a …
Criminals are increasingly using mobile based communication applications, like WhatsApp, that have end-to-end encryption to connect to each other. This makes traditional analysis of call graphs, or traffic analysis, virtually impossible and so is a hindrance for law enforcement personnel. Old methods of traffic analysis have been rendered useless and criminals, including arms dealers and terrorists, are able to engage in criminal activity undetected by police. At present, law enforcement must use extensive manual effort to parse data provided by cell companies to extract information. We have b…
This research explores the opportunities for the application of network analytic techniques to prevent money laundering. We worked on real world data by analyzing the central database of a factoring company, mainly operating in Italy, over a period of 19 months. This database contained the financial operations linked to the factoring business, together with other useful information about the company clients. We propose a new approach to sort and map relational data and present predictive models, based on network metrics, to assess risk profiles of clients involved in the factoring business. We…
We introduce the graphlet decomposition of a weighted network, which encodes a notion of social information based on social structure. We develop a scalable inference algorithm, which combines EM with Bron-Kerbosch in a novel fashion, for estimating the parameters of the model underlying graphlets using one network sample. We explore some theoretical properties of the graphlet decomposition, including computational complexity, redundancy and expected accuracy. We demonstrate graphlets on synthetic and real data. We analyze messaging patterns on Facebook and criminal associations in the 19th ce…
Human trafficking is a heartless crime that represents the second most profitable crime in the world. Mexico's geographical position makes it a country with high levels of human trafficking. Using the snowball sampling method, the major contribution of this paper is the abstraction of the human trafficking network on the southern border of Mexico. Based on a social network analysis, it is identified that the criminal network is moderately centralized (44.32%) and with medium density (0.401). Therefore, the network has minimal cohesiveness and members may find it difficult to share information,…
In this paper we introduce the Organization, Relationship, and Contact Analyzer (ORCA) that is designed to aide intelligence analysis for law enforcement operations against violent street gangs. ORCA is designed to address several police analytical needs concerning street gangs using new techniques in social network analysis. Specifically, it can determine "degree of membership" for individuals who do not admit to membership in a street gang, quickly identify sets of influential individuals (under the tipping model), and identify criminal ecosystems by decomposing gangs into sub-groups. We des…
Containing the spreading of crime in urban societies remains a major challenge. Empirical evidence suggests that, left unchecked, crimes may be recurrent and proliferate. On the other hand, eradicating a culture of crime may be difficult, especially under extreme social circumstances that impair the creation of a shared sense of social responsibility. Although our understanding of the mechanisms that drive the emergence and diffusion of crime is still incomplete, recent research highlights applied mathematics and methods of statistical physics as valuable theoretical resources that may help us…
Massive content about user's social, personal and professional life stored on Online Social Networks (OSNs) has attracted not only the attention of researchers and social analysts but also the cyber criminals. These cyber criminals penetrate illegally into an OSN by establishing fake profiles or by designing bots and exploit the vulnerabilities of an OSN to carry out illegal activities. With the growth of technology cyber crimes have been increasing manifold. Daily reports of the security and privacy threats in the OSNs demand not only the intelligent automated detection systems that can ident…
The criminal nature of narcotics complicates the direct assessment of a drug community, while having a good understanding of the type of people drawn or currently using drugs is vital for finding effective intervening strategies. Especially for the Russian Federation this is of immediate concern given the dramatic increase it has seen in drug abuse since the fall of the Soviet Union in the early nineties. Using unique data from the Russian social network 'LiveJournal' with over 39 million registered users worldwide, we were able for the first time to identify the on-line drug community by cont…
Finding the set of nodes, which removed or (de)activated can stop the spread of (dis)information, contain an epidemic or disrupt the functioning of a corrupt/criminal organization is still one of the key challenges in network science. In this paper, we introduce the generalized network dismantling problem, which aims to find the set of nodes that, when removed from a network, results in a network fragmentation into subcritical network components at minimum cost. For unit costs, our formulation becomes equivalent to the standard network dismantling problem. Our non-unit cost generalization allo…
Financial frauds cause billions of losses annually and yet it lacks efficient approaches in detecting frauds considering user profile and their behaviors simultaneously in social network . A social network forms a graph structure whilst Graph neural networks (GNN), a promising research domain in Deep Learning, can seamlessly process non-Euclidean graph data . In financial fraud detection, the modus operandi of criminals can be identified by analyzing user profile and their behaviors such as transaction, loaning etc. as well as their social connectivity. Currently, most GNNs are incapable of se…
The University of Tokyo(东京大学);National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST)(国立先进工业科学技术研究所(AIST))
While transactions with cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum are becoming more prevalent, fraud and other criminal transactions are not uncommon. Graph analysis algorithms and machine learning techniques detect suspicious transactions that lead to phishing in large transaction networks. Many graph neural network (GNN) models have been proposed to apply deep learning techniques to graph structures. Although there is research on phishing detection using GNN models in the Ethereum transaction network, models that address the scale of the number of vertices and edges and the imbalance of labels have …
Online social networks (OSNs) are abused by cyber criminals for various malicious activities. One of the most effective approaches for detecting malicious activity in OSNs involves the use of social network honeypots - artificial profiles that are deliberately planted within OSNs in order to attract abusers. Honeypot profiles have been used in detecting spammers, potential cyber attackers, and advanced attackers. Therefore, there is a growing need for the ability to reliably generate realistic artificial honeypot profiles in OSNs. In this research we present 'ProfileGen' - a method for the aut…
MIT Lincoln Laboratory(麻省理工学院林肯实验室);Harvard University(哈佛大学)
Network detection is an important capability in many areas of applied research in which data can be represented as a graph of entities and relationships. Oftentimes the object of interest is a relatively small subgraph in an enormous, potentially uninteresting background. This aspect characterizes network detection as a "big data" problem. Graph partitioning and network discovery have been major research areas over the last ten years, driven by interest in internet search, cyber security, social networks, and criminal or terrorist activities. The specific problem of network discovery is addres…
Institute of Cyberspace Security, Zhejiang University of Technology(浙江工业大学网络空间安全研究院);College of Information Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology(浙江工业大学信息工程学院);PCL Research Center of Networks and Communications, Peng Cheng Laboratory(鹏城实验室网络通信研究中心)
The anonymity of blockchain has accelerated the growth of illegal activities and criminal behaviors on cryptocurrency platforms. Although decentralization is one of the typical characteristics of blockchain, we urgently call for effective regulation to detect these illegal behaviors to ensure the safety and stability of user transactions. Identity inference, which aims to make a preliminary inference about account identity, plays a significant role in blockchain security. As a common tool, graph mining technique can effectively represent the interactive information between accounts and be used…