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arXiv 2103.02225cs.LG
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先预测后评价:分解价值估计与潜在未来预测

Foresee then Evaluate: Decomposing Value Estimation with Latent Future Prediction

Tianjin University(天津大学);Huawei(华为);Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院深圳先进技术研究院);The Chinese University of Hong Kong(香港中文大学)

Hongyao Tang, Jianye Hao, Guangyong Chen, Pengfei Chen, Chen Chen, Yaodong Yang, Luo Zhang, Wulong Liu, Zhaopeng Meng

摘要:

价值函数是强化学习的核心概念。值估计,特别是函数近似,可能具有挑战性,因为它涉及环境动态和奖励信号的随机性,在某些情况下可能是稀疏和延迟的。典型的无模型强化学习算法通常通过时间差分(TD)或蒙特卡罗(MC)算法直接从奖励中估计策略的值,而不显式地考虑动态。本文提出了带未来预测的价值分解(VDFP),将价值估计过程分为两步:1)预测潜在的未来,2)评估潜在的未来,并将价值函数分解为潜在的未来动态部分和与政策无关的轨迹回报部分,从而在价值估计中分别对潜在动态和回报进行建模。此外,我们推导出一个实用的深度RL算法,包括一个卷积模型,用于从过去的经验中学习紧凑的轨迹表示,一个条件变分自动编码器,用于预测潜在的未来动态,以及一个凸返回模型,用于评估轨迹表示。在实验中,我们在几个OpenAI Gym连续控制任务以及几个具有延迟奖励的挑战性变体中,经验性地证明了我们的方法对于非策略和策略RL的有效性。

英文摘要:

Value function is the central notion of Reinforcement Learning (RL). Value estimation, especially with function approximation, can be challenging since it involves the stochasticity of environmental dynamics and reward signals that can be sparse and delayed in some cases. A typical model-free RL algorithm usually estimates the values of a policy by Temporal Difference (TD) or Monte Carlo (MC) algorithms directly from rewards, without explicitly taking dynamics into consideration. In this paper, we propose Value Decomposition with Future Prediction (VDFP), providing an explicit two-step understanding of the value estimation process: 1) first foresee the latent future, 2) and then evaluate it. We analytically decompose the value function into a latent future dynamics part and a policy-independent trajectory return part, inducing a way to model latent dynamics and returns separately in value estimation. Further, we derive a practical deep RL algorithm, consisting of a convolutional model to learn compact trajectory representation from past experiences, a conditional variational auto-encoder to predict the latent future dynamics and a convex return model that evaluates trajectory representation. In experiments, we empirically demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach for both off-policy and on-policy RL in several OpenAI Gym continuous control tasks as well as a few challenging variants with delayed reward.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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