arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2103.00949q-fin.RMcs.LG
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信用风险管理中的AI解释

Explainable AI in Credit Risk Management

School of Engineering(工程学院);Zurich University of Applied Sciences(苏黎世应用科技大学);Data Science Institute(数据科学研究所);Columbia University(哥伦比亚大学)

Branka Hadji Misheva, Joerg Osterrieder, Ali Hirsa, Onkar Kulkarni, Stephen Fung Lin

摘要:

人工智能(AI)创造了世界上有史以来最大的技术革命。对于金融业而言,它提供了改善客户体验、金融服务民主化、确保消费者保护和显著改善风险管理的巨大机会。虽然运行最先进的机器学习模型比以往任何时候都更容易,但设计和实现支持现实世界金融应用的系统一直具有挑战性。在很大程度上是因为它们缺乏透明度和可解释性,这是建立可靠技术的重要因素,对这一主题的研究特别侧重于信用风险管理中的应用。在本文中,我们实现了两个先进的事后模型不可知解释技术,称为本地可解释模型不可知解释(LIME)和SHapley加法解释(SHAP),以机器学习(ML)为基础的信用评分模型应用于美国P2P借贷平台Lending Club提供的开放访问数据集。具体来说,我们使用LIME在本地解释实例,使用SHAP获得本地和全局解释。我们详细讨论了结果,并通过使用各种内核来解释使用SHAP值生成的图形,从而提出了多种比较方案。我们还讨论了与实施这些最先进的eXplainabale AI(XAI)方法相关的实际挑战,并将其记录下来供将来参考。我们努力记录这项研究的每个技术方面,同时提供结论的一般摘要。

英文摘要:

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has created the single biggest technology revolution the world has ever seen. For the finance sector, it provides great opportunities to enhance customer experience, democratize financial services, ensure consumer protection and significantly improve risk management. While it is easier than ever to run state-of-the-art machine learning models, designing and implementing systems that support real-world finance applications have been challenging. In large part because they lack transparency and explainability which are important factors in establishing reliable technology and the research on this topic with a specific focus on applications in credit risk management. In this paper, we implement two advanced post-hoc model agnostic explainability techniques called Local Interpretable Model Agnostic Explanations (LIME) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to machine learning (ML)-based credit scoring models applied to the open-access data set offered by the US-based P2P Lending Platform, Lending Club. Specifically, we use LIME to explain instances locally and SHAP to get both local and global explanations. We discuss the results in detail and present multiple comparison scenarios by using various kernels available for explaining graphs generated using SHAP values. We also discuss the practical challenges associated with the implementation of these state-of-art eXplainabale AI (XAI) methods and document them for future reference. We have made an effort to document every technical aspect of this research, while at the same time providing a general summary of the conclusions.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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