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arXiv 2102.13581physics.soc-ph
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海上能源的协同作用:丹麦部门的路线图

Synergies in offshore energy: a roadmap for the Danish sector

Matteo DAndrea, Mario Garzon Gonzalez, Russell McKenna

摘要:

本研究旨在分析O&G和可再生能源部门之间的未来协同效应,并探讨如何利用这些协同效应带来经济和环境效益。本报告首先回顾和强调了相关技术和相关项目,通过重点关注电气化/浮式风力发电、电解/制氢和碳捕获与封存(CCS)三大关键技术,综合了海上能源系统集成的最新技术水平。在2050年的时间框架和包括所有北海邻国的模型范围内,该分析探讨了北海能源系统的九种未来情景。主要成果包括通过将所有运营的DUC平台连接到海岸和/或计划中的丹麦能源岛,使其立即电气化。与“一切照旧”情景相比,这些措施分别节省了72%和85%的成本和二氧化碳排放量。当这些平台停止生产时,随后将这些平台重新利用为具有高达3.6吉瓦电解槽的氢气发生器,并开发高达5.8吉瓦的浮动风。产生的氢气被认为是未来运输部门的动力,并通过现有和/或新的专用管道输送到岸上。O&G部门对氢气生产的贡献约为19 TWh,约占2050年欧洲运输氢气总需求的2%。到2050年,生产这种氢气的平准化成本(LCOE)约为4欧元2012/kg H2,这大约是类似研究中预期的两倍。但这并没有考虑到未来可能激励绿色氢生产的能源政策,这将有助于将这种LCOE降低到与其他来源更具竞争力的水平。

英文摘要:

This study sets out to analyze future synergies between the O&G and renewables sectors and explore how exploiting these synergies could lead to economic and environmental benefits. By firstly reviewing and highlighting relevant technologies and related projects, this report synthesizes the state of the art in offshore energy system integration, by focusing on three key technologies in electrification/floating wind, electrolysis/hydrogen production and Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS). With a timeframe out to 2050 and model scope including all North Sea neighbouring countries, this analysis explores a total of nine future scenarios for the North Sea energy system. The main results include an immediate electrification of all operational DUC platforms by linking them to the shore and/or a planned Danish energy island. These measures result in cost and CO2 emissions savings compared to a BAU scenario of 72% and 85% respectively. When these platforms cease production, this is followed by the repurposing of the platforms into hydrogen generators with up to 3.6 GW of electrolysers and the development of up to 5.8 GW of floating wind. The generated hydrogen is assumed to power the future transport sector, and is delivered to shore in existing and/or new purpose-built pipelines. The contribution of the O&G sector to this hydrogen production amounts to around 19 TWh, which represents about 2% of total European hydrogen demand for transport in 2050. The levelized costs (LCOE) of producing this hydrogen in 2050 are around 4 euro2012/kg H2, which is around twice those expected in similar studies. But this does not account for energy policies that may incentivize green hydrogen production in the future, which would serve to reduce this LCOE to a level that is more competitive with other sources.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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