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arXiv 2102.01697astro-ph.SRastro-ph.EPastro-ph.IM
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绘制恒星表面II:光变曲线的可解释高斯过程模型

Mapping stellar surfaces II: An interpretable Gaussian process model for light curves

Rodrigo Luger, Daniel Foreman-Mackey, Christina Hedges

摘要:

由于高斯过程(GP)的易用性和灵活性,使用高斯过程(GP)作为天文时间序列数据集的模型最近几乎变得无处不在。GPS特别擅长在恒星信号边缘化的情况下,由于恒星黑子旋转进出视图的变化被视为一个麻烦,如在系外行星过境建模。然而,这些有效的模型是不太有用的情况下,星点信号是主要的兴趣,因为它是不明显的GP模型的参数是如何相关的物理特性的兴趣,如大小,对比度,和纬度分布的斑点。相反,通常的做法是明确地模拟单个星点对光变曲线的影响,并试图通过优化或后验推理来推断它们的属性。不幸的是,这个过程是退化的,不适定的,并且通常在计算上难以处理,当应用于具有多个斑点和/或许多光变曲线的恒星时。在本文中,我们推导出一个封闭形式的表达的平均值和协方差的高斯过程模型,描述了一个旋转的,不断变化的恒星表面的光变曲线的条件下,一个给定的分布的星点大小,对比度和纬度。我们证明,这个模型是正确的校准,允许一个强大的推断感兴趣的物理参数从一个或多个恒星的光变曲线,包括典型的半径和平均值和方差的纬度分布的星点。我们的GP具有广泛的影响,了解恒星的光变曲线和径向速度(RV)测量的变化和磁活动,以及在过境和RV系外行星搜索的相关噪声的鲁棒性建模。我们的实现是高效的,用户友好的,开源的,可作为Python包starry-process。

英文摘要:

The use of Gaussian processes (GPs) as models for astronomical time series datasets has recently become almost ubiquitous, given their ease of use and flexibility. GPs excel in particular at marginalization over the stellar signal in cases where the variability due to starspots rotating in and out of view is treated as a nuisance, such as in exoplanet transit modeling. However, these effective models are less useful in cases where the starspot signal is of primary interest since it is not obvious how the parameters of the GP model are related to the physical properties of interest, such as the size, contrast, and latitudinal distribution of the spots. Instead, it is common practice to explicitly model the effect of individual starspots on the light curve and attempt to infer their properties via optimization or posterior inference. Unfortunately, this process is degenerate, ill-posed, and often computationally intractable when applied to stars with more than a few spots and/or to ensembles of many light curves. In this paper, we derive a closed-form expression for the mean and covariance of a Gaussian process model that describes the light curve of a rotating, evolving stellar surface conditioned on a given distribution of starspot sizes, contrasts, and latitudes. We demonstrate that this model is correctly calibrated, allowing one to robustly infer physical parameters of interest from one or more stellar light curves, including the typical radii and the mean and variance of the latitude distribution of starspots. Our GP has far-ranging implications for understanding the variability and magnetic activity of stars from both light curves and radial velocity (RV) measurements, as well as for robustly modeling correlated noise in both transiting and RV exoplanet searches. Our implementation is efficient, user-friendly, and open source, available as the Python package starry-process.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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