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arXiv 2101.04057cs.MA
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VIDA:社会化时代家庭暴力的模拟模型DistAncing

VIDA: A simulation model of domestic VIolence in times of social DistAncing

Lígia Mori Madeira, Bernardo Alves Furtado, Alan Rafael Dill

摘要:

对妇女的暴力行为主要发生在家庭和家庭环境中。COVID-19疫情导致巴西建议并不时实施社交距离,部分关闭经济活动、学校,并限制活动和公共服务。初步证据表明,密集的共存增加了家庭暴力,而社会距离措施可能阻碍了获得公共服务和网络、信息和帮助。我们提出了一个基于代理的模型(ABM),称为VIDA,来说明和研究多因果因素,影响产生暴力的事件。该模型的一个核心部分是多原因压力指标,它是作为家庭环境中发生家庭暴力的概率触发因素而创建的。进行了两项实验设计测试:(a)是否存在对妇女的家庭暴力的威慑系统;(b)增加社会距离的措施。VIDA提出了在实验中考虑的大都市地区和街区的比较结果。结果表明,社交距离措施,特别是鼓励呆在家里的措施,可能使针对妇女的家庭暴力增加了约10%。VIDA进一步指出,与人口较少的首都或城市集中的农村地区相比,人口较多的地区每10万名妇女的病例相对较少。本文有助于文献的正规化,尽我们所知,第一个模型的家庭暴力通过代理为基础的建模,使用经验详细的社会经济,人口,教育,性别和种族数据在城市内部一级(人口普查部门)。

英文摘要:

Violence against women occurs predominantly in the family and domestic context. The COVID-19 pandemic led Brazil to recommend and, at times, impose social distancing, with the partial closure of economic activities, schools, and restrictions on events and public services. Preliminary evidence shows that intense coexistence increases domestic violence, while social distancing measures may have prevented access to public services and networks, information, and help. We propose an agent-based model (ABM), called VIDA, to illustrate and examine multi-causal factors that influence events that generate violence. A central part of the model is the multi-causal stress indicator, created as a probability trigger of domestic violence occurring within the family environment. Two experimental design tests were performed: (a) absence or presence of the deterrence system of domestic violence against women and (b) measures to increase social distancing. VIDA presents comparative results for metropolitan regions and neighbourhoods considered in the experiments. Results suggest that social distancing measures, particularly those encouraging staying at home, may have increased domestic violence against women by about 10%. VIDA suggests further that more populated areas have comparatively fewer cases per hundred thousand women than less populous capitals or rural areas of urban concentrations. This paper contributes to the literature by formalising, to the best of our knowledge, the first model of domestic violence through agent-based modelling, using empirical detailed socioeconomic, demographic, educational, gender, and race data at the intraurban level (census sectors).

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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