Multivariate hypergeometric distribution arises frequently in elementary statistics and probability courses, for simultaneously studying the occurence law of specified events, when sampling without replacement from a finite population with fixed number of classification. Covariance matrix of this distribution is well known to be identical to its multinomial counterpart multiplied by 1-(n-1)/(N-1), with N and n being population and sample sizes, respectively. It appears to however, have been less discussed in the literature about the meaning of this relationship, especially regarding the specific form of the multiplier. Based on an augmenting argument together with probabilistic symmetry, we present a more transparent understanding for the covariance structure of the multivariate hypergeometric distribution. We discuss implications of these combined techniques and provide a unified description about the relative efficiency for estimating population mean based on simple random sampling, probability proportional-to-size sampling and adaptive cluster sampling, with versus without replacement. We also provide insight into the classic random group method for variance estimation.
We propose new generalized multivariate hypergeometric distributions, which extremely resemble the classical multivariate hypergeometric distributions. The proposed distributions are derived based on an urn model approach. In contrast to existing methods, this approach does not involve hypergeometric series.
In this short note, we develop a local approximation for the log-ratio of the multivariate hypergeometric probability mass function over the corresponding multinomial probability mass function. In conjunction with the bounds from Carter (2002) and Ouimet (2021) on the total variation between the law of a multinomial vector jittered by a uniform on $(-1/2,1/2)^d$ and the law of the corresponding multivariate normal distribution, the local expansion for the log-ratio is then used to obtain a total variation bound between the law of a multivariate hypergeometric random vector jittered by a unifor…
There has been a growing interest in providing models for multivariate spatial processes. A majority of these models specify a parametric matrix covariance function. Based on observations, the parameters are estimated by maximum likelihood or variants thereof. While the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators for univariate spatial processes have been analyzed in detail, maximum likelihood estimators for multivariate spatial processes have not received their deserved attention yet. In this article we consider the classical increasing-domain asymptotic setting restricting the min…
For normal canonical models with $X \sim N_p(θ, σ^{2} I_{p}), \;\; S^{2} \sim σ^{2}χ^{2}_{k}, \;{independent}$, we consider the problem of estimating $θ$ under scale invariant squared error loss $\frac{\|d-θ\|^{2}}{σ^{2}}$, when it is known that the signal-to-noise ratio $\frac{\|θ\|}σ$ is bounded above by $m$. Risk analysis is achieved by making use of a conditional risk decomposition and we obtain in particular sufficient conditions for an estimator to dominate either the unbiased estimator $δ_{UB}(X)=X$, or the maximum likelihood estimator $δ_{\hbox{mle}}(X,S^2)$, or both of these benchmark…
Considering discrete models, the univariate framework has been studied in depth compared to the multivariate one. This paper first proposes two criteria to define a sensu stricto multivariate discrete distribution. It then introduces the class of splitting distributions that encompasses all usual multivariate discrete distributions (multinomial, negative multinomial, multivariate hypergeometric, multivariate neg- ative hypergeometric, etc . . . ) and contains several new. Many advantages derive from the compound aspect of split- ting distributions. It simplifies the study of their characteris-…
This paper provides a closed form expression for the pairwise score vector for the multivariate ordered probit model. This result has several implications in likelihood-based inference. It is indeed used both to speed-up gradient based optimization routines for point estimation, and to provide a building block to compute standard errors and confidence intervals by means of the Godambe matrix.
In this paper, the exact distribution of the largest eigenvalue of a singular random matrix for multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) is discussed. The key to developing the distribution theory of eigenvalues of a singular random matrix is to use heterogeneous hypergeometric functions with two matrix arguments. In this study, we define the singular beta F-matrix and extend the distributions of a nonsingular beta F -matrix to the singular case. We also give the joint density of eigenvalues and the exact distribution of the largest eigenvalue in terms of heterogeneous hypergeometric functio…
We apply the holonomic gradient method introduced by Nakayama et al.(2011) to the evaluation of the exact distribution function of the largest root of a Wishart matrix, which involves a hypergeometric function 1F1 of a matrix argument. Numerical evaluation of the hypergeometric function has been one of the longstanding problems in multivariate distribution theory. The holonomic gradient method offers a totally new approach, which is complementary to the infinite series expansion around the origin in terms of zonal polynomials. It allows us to move away from the origin by the use of partial dif…
Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal distribution being an exception. We study some implications of functional relationships between covariance and the mean by focusing on the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation of the mean-covariance under the joint constraint $\bmΣ\bmμ = \bmμ$ for a multivariate normal distribution. A novel structured covariance is proposed through reparameterization of the…
Threshold-type counts based on multivariate occupancy models with log concave marginals admit bounded size biased couplings under weak conditions, leading to new concentration of measure results for random graphs, germ-grain models in stochastic geometry, multinomial allocation models and multivariate hypergeometric sampling. The work generalizes and improves upon previous results in a number of directions.
Odds ratios and log-linear parameters are not collapsible, meaning that including a variable into the analysis or omitting one from it, may change the strength of association among the remaining variables. Even the direction of association may be reversed, a fact that is often discussed under the name of Simpson's paradox. A parameter of association is directionally collapsible, if this reversal cannot occur. The paper investigates the existence of parameters of association which are directionally collapsible. It is shown, that subject to two simple assumptions, no parameter of association, wh…
This paper deals with dependence across marginally exponentially distributed arrival times, such as default times in financial modeling or inter-failure times in reliability theory. We explore the relationship between dependence and the possibility to sample final multivariate survival in a long time-interval as a sequence of iterations of local multivariate survivals along a partition of the total time interval. We find that this is possible under a form of multivariate lack of memory that is linked to a property of the survival times copula. This property defines a "self-chaining-copula", an…
This article focuses on the performance of Bayes estimators, in comparison with the MLE, in multinomial models with a relatively large number of cells. The prior for the Bayes estimator is taken to be the conjugate Dirichlet, i.e., the multivariate Beta, with exchangeable distributions over the coordinates, including the non-informative uniform distribution. The choice of the multinomial is motivated by its many applications in business and industry, but also by its use in providing a simple nonparametric estimator of an unknown distribution. It is striking that the Bayes procedure outperforms…
We study frequentist risk properties of predictive density estimators for mean mixtures of multivariate normal distributions, involving an unknown location parameter $θ\in \mathbb{R}^d$, and which include multivariate skew normal distributions. We provide explicit representations for Bayesian posterior and predictive densities, including the benchmark minimum risk equivariant (MRE) density, which is minimax and generalized Bayes with respect to an improper uniform density for $θ$. For four dimensions or more, we obtain Bayesian densities that improve uniformly on the MRE density under Kullback…
This work includes a new characterization of the multivariate normal distribution. In particular, it is shown that a positive density function $f$ is Gaussian if and only if the $f(x+ y)/f(x)$ is convex in $x$ for every $y$. This result has implications to recent research regarding inadmissibility of a test studied by Moran~(1973).
Motivated by a recently established result saying that within the class of bivariate Archimedean copulas standard pointwise convergence implies weak convergence of almost all conditional distributions this contribution studies the class $\mathcal{C}_{ar}^d$ of all $d$-dimensional Archimedean copulas with $d \geq 3$ and proves the afore-mentioned implication with respect to conditioning on the first $d-1$ coordinates. Several proper\-ties equivalent to pointwise convergence in $\mathcal{C}_{ar}^d$ are established and - as by-product of working with conditional distributions (Markov kernels) - a…
