双重多先验偏好与条件推理的失败
Twofold Multiprior Preferences and Failures of Contingent Reasoning
摘要：
我们提出了一个不完整的\textit{twofold multiprior preferences}模型，其中一个动作$f$排名高于一个动作$g$只有当$f$在最坏情况下提供更高的效用比$g$在最好的情况下提供。该模型解释了偶然推理的失败，通过削弱状态的单调性（或优势）公理。我们的模型产生了丰富的比较静态分析的结果，以及扩展练习，并连接到选择理论。我们提出了一个应用到第二价格拍卖。
英文摘要：
We propose a model of incomplete \textit{twofold multiprior preferences}, in which an act $f$ is ranked above an act $g$ only when $f$ provides higher utility in a worst-case scenario than what $g$ provides in a best-case scenario. The model explains failures of contingent reasoning, captured through a weakening of the state-by-state monotonicity (or dominance) axiom. Our model gives rise to rich comparative statics results, as well as extension exercises, and connections to choice theory. We present an application to second-price auctions.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
