arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2012.05742cs.CLcs.LG
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基于时间图神经网络的纵向引文预测

Longitudinal Citation Prediction using Temporal Graph Neural Networks

University of Copenhagen(哥本哈根大学);IT University of Copenhagen(哥本哈根信息技术大学)

Andreas Nugaard Holm, Barbara Plank, Dustin Wright, Isabelle Augenstein

摘要:

引文量预测是预测一篇论文在一段时间后被引用的次数。之前的工作将其视为静态预测任务。随着论文及其引用随着时间的推移而发展,考虑论文将收到的引用数量的动态似乎是合乎逻辑的。在这里,我们介绍了序列引文预测的任务。其目标是准确预测学术作品随着时间的推移获得的引用数量的轨迹。我们建议将论文视为引文的结构化网络,允许我们使用拓扑信息作为学习信号。此外,我们还将了解这种动态引文网络如何随时间变化,以及论文元数据(如作者、地点和摘要)的影响。为了解决这一新的任务,我们从语义学者跨越42年的动态引文网络。我们提出了一个模型,利用图卷积网络与序列预测配对的拓扑和时间信息,并将其与多个基线进行比较,测试拓扑和时间信息的重要性并分析模型性能。我们的实验表明,利用时间和拓扑信息大大提高了预测引文数量随着时间的推移的性能。

英文摘要:

Citation count prediction is the task of predicting the number of citations a paper has gained after a period of time. Prior work viewed this as a static prediction task. As papers and their citations evolve over time, considering the dynamics of the number of citations a paper will receive would seem logical. Here, we introduce the task of sequence citation prediction. The goal is to accurately predict the trajectory of the number of citations a scholarly work receives over time. We propose to view papers as a structured network of citations, allowing us to use topological information as a learning signal. Additionally, we learn how this dynamic citation network changes over time and the impact of paper meta-data such as authors, venues and abstracts. To approach the new task, we derive a dynamic citation network from Semantic Scholar spanning over 42 years. We present a model which exploits topological and temporal information using graph convolution networks paired with sequence prediction, and compare it against multiple baselines, testing the importance of topological and temporal information and analyzing model performance. Our experiments show that leveraging both the temporal and topological information greatly increases the performance of predicting citation counts over time.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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