How can we find a subset of training samples that are most responsible for a specific prediction made by a complex black-box machine learning model? More generally, how can we explain the model's decisions to end-users in a transparent way? We propose a new model-agnostic algorithm to identify a minimal set of training samples that are indispensable for a given model's decision at a particular test point, i.e., the model's decision would have changed upon the removal of this subset from the training dataset. Our algorithm identifies such a set of "indispensable" samples iteratively by solving a constrained optimization problem. Further, we speed up the algorithm through efficient approximations and provide theoretical justification for its performance. To demonstrate the applicability and effectiveness of our approach, we apply it to a variety of tasks including data poisoning detection, training set debugging and understanding loan decisions. The results show that our algorithm is an effective and easy-to-comprehend tool that helps to better understand local model behavior, and therefore facilitates the adoption of machine learning in domains where such understanding is a requisite.
Model interpretability is an increasingly important component of practical machine learning. Some of the most common forms of interpretability systems are example-based, local, and global explanations. One of the main challenges in interpretability is designing explanation systems that can capture aspects of each of these explanation types, in order to develop a more thorough understanding of the model. We address this challenge in a novel model called MAPLE that uses local linear modeling techniques along with a dual interpretation of random forests (both as a supervised neighborhood approach…
Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) is a popular technique used to increase the interpretability and explainability of black box Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. LIME typically generates an explanation for a single prediction by any ML model by learning a simpler interpretable model (e.g. linear classifier) around the prediction through generating simulated data around the instance by random perturbation, and obtaining feature importance through applying some form of feature selection. While LIME and similar local algorithms have gained popularity due to their simplicity, t…
This article is a companion paper to our earlier work Miroshnikov et al. (2021) on fairness interpretability, which introduces bias explanations. In the current work, we propose a bias mitigation methodology based upon the construction of post-processed models with fairer regressor distributions for Wasserstein-based fairness metrics. By identifying the list of predictors contributing the most to the bias, we reduce the dimensionality of the problem by mitigating the bias originating from those predictors. The post-processing methodology involves reshaping the predictor distributions by balanc…
Explaining AI systems is fundamental both to the development of high performing models and to the trust placed in them by their users. The Shapley framework for explainability has strength in its general applicability combined with its precise, rigorous foundation: it provides a common, model-agnostic language for AI explainability and uniquely satisfies a set of intuitive mathematical axioms. However, Shapley values are too restrictive in one significant regard: they ignore all causal structure in the data. We introduce a less restrictive framework, Asymmetric Shapley values (ASVs), which are…
Statwolf Data Science（Statwolf 数据科学公司）；Universitá degli Studi di Padova（帕多瓦大学）
In the context of human-in-the-loop Machine Learning applications, like Decision Support Systems, interpretability approaches should provide actionable insights without making the users wait. In this paper, we propose Accelerated Model-agnostic Explanations (AcME), an interpretability approach that quickly provides feature importance scores both at the global and the local level. AcME can be applied a posteriori to each regression or classification model. Not only does AcME compute feature ranking, but it also provides a what-if analysis tool to assess how changes in features values would affe…
IBM Research（IBM研究院）；Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute（伦斯勒理工学院）
Post-hoc explanations for black box models have been studied extensively in classification and regression settings. However, explanations for models that output similarity between two inputs have received comparatively lesser attention. In this paper, we provide model agnostic local explanations for similarity learners applicable to tabular and text data. We first propose a method that provides feature attributions to explain the similarity between a pair of inputs as determined by a black box similarity learner. We then propose analogies as a new form of explanation in machine learning. Here …
Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as powerful tools to encode graph-structured data. Due to their broad applications, there is an increasing need to develop tools to explain how GNNs make decisions given graph-structured data. Existing learning-based GNN explanation approaches are task-specific in training and hence suffer from crucial drawbacks. Specifically, they are incapable of producing explanations for a multitask prediction model with a single explainer. They are also unable to provide explanations in cases where the GNN is trained in a self-supervised manner, and the resulting …
ReX: A Framework for Incorporating Temporal Information in Model-Agnostic Local Explanation Techniques
Key Lab of High Confidence Software Technologies (Peking University), Ministry of Education（高可信软件技术教育部重点实验室（北京大学））；School of Computer Science, Peking University（北京大学计算机学院）
Time series forecasting is a demanding task ranging from weather to failure forecasting with black-box models achieving state-of-the-art performances. However, understanding and debugging are not guaranteed. We propose TS-MULE, a local surrogate model explanation method specialized for time series extending the LIME approach. Our extended LIME works with various ways to segment and perturb the time series data. In our extension, we present six sampling segmentation approaches for time series to improve the quality of surrogate attributions and demonstrate their performances on three deep learn…
School of Computer Science, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China（北京大学计算机科学学院）；Key Lab of High Confidence Software Technologies (Peking University), Ministry of Education（高可信软件技术重点实验室（北京大学））
Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) is an emerging new domain in which a set of processes and tools allow humans to better comprehend the decisions generated by black box models. However, most of the available XAI tools are often limited to simple explanations mainly quantifying the impact of individual features to the models' output. Therefore, human users are not able to understand how the features are related to each other to make predictions, whereas the inner workings of the trained models remain hidden. This paper contributes to the development of a novel graphical explainability t…
Helsinki Institute for Information Technology HIIT（赫尔辛基信息技术研究所（HIIT））；Aalto University（阿尔托大学）
We introduce a method, KL-LIME, for explaining predictions of Bayesian predictive models by projecting the information in the predictive distribution locally to a simpler, interpretable explanation model. The proposed approach combines the recent Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) method with ideas from Bayesian projection predictive variable selection methods. The information theoretic basis helps in navigating the trade-off between explanation fidelity and complexity. We demonstrate the method in explaining MNIST digit classifications made by a Bayesian deep convolutional…
University of Cyprus（塞浦路斯大学）；Bielefeld University（比勒费尔德大学）
The application of machine learning based decision making systems in safety critical areas requires reliable high certainty predictions. Reject options are a common way of ensuring a sufficiently high certainty of predictions made by the system. While being able to reject uncertain samples is important, it is also of importance to be able to explain why a particular sample was rejected. However, explaining general reject options is still an open problem. We propose a model agnostic method for locally explaining arbitrary reject options by means of interpretable models and counterfactual explan…
MASCOTS: Model-Agnostic Symbolic COunterfactual explanations for Time Series
Warsaw University of Technology（华沙理工大学）；University of Warsaw（华沙大学）；University of Pisa（比萨大学）；ISTI-CNR（意大利国家研究委员会信息科学与技术研究所）；KP Labs（KP实验室）；European Space Operations Centre（欧洲空间操作中心）；ETH Zürich（苏黎世联邦理工学院）
University of Southern California（南加州大学）；University of Science and Technology of China（中国科学技术大学）；Tsinghua University（清华大学）
Interactions such as double negation in sentences and scene interactions in images are common forms of complex dependencies captured by state-of-the-art machine learning models. We propose Mahé, a novel approach to provide Model-agnostic hierarchical éxplanations of how powerful machine learning models, such as deep neural networks, capture these interactions as either dependent on or free of the context of data instances. Specifically, Mahé provides context-dependent explanations by a novel local interpretation algorithm that effectively captures any-order interactions, and obtains context-fr…
Bielefeld University（比勒费尔德大学）；University of Cyprus（塞浦路斯大学）
Counterfactual explanations are a popular type of explanation for making the outcomes of a decision making system transparent to the user. Counterfactual explanations tell the user what to do in order to change the outcome of the system in a desirable way. However, it was recently discovered that the recommendations of what to do can differ significantly in their complexity between protected groups of individuals. Providing more difficult recommendations of actions to one group leads to a disadvantage of this group compared to other groups. In this work we propose a model-agnostic method for c…
Counterfactual explanation is an important Explainable AI technique to explain machine learning predictions. Despite being studied actively, existing optimization-based methods often assume that the underlying machine-learning model is differentiable and treat categorical attributes as continuous ones, which restricts their real-world applications when categorical attributes have many different values or the model is non-differentiable. To make counterfactual explanation suitable for real-world applications, we propose a novel framework of Model-Agnostic Counterfactual Explanation (MACE), whic…
Adobe Systems（Adobe系统公司）；Adobe Systems Noida Uttar Pradesh India（印度北方邦诺伊达的Adobe系统公司）
Explaining the behavior of black box machine learning models through human interpretable rules is an important research area. Recent work has focused on explaining model behavior locally i.e. for specific predictions as well as globally across the fields of vision, natural language, reinforcement learning and data science. We present a novel model-agnostic approach that derives rules to globally explain the behavior of classification models trained on numerical and/or categorical data. Our approach builds on top of existing local model explanation methods to extract conditions important for ex…
ABB Ability Innovation Center, Asea Brown Boveri Company（ABB集团ABB能力创新中心）；Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad（印度理工学院海得拉巴分校）
With the advancement of technology for artificial intelligence (AI) based solutions and analytics compute engines, machine learning (ML) models are getting more complex day by day. Most of these models are generally used as a black box without user interpretability. Such complex ML models make it more difficult for people to understand or trust their predictions. There are variety of frameworks using explainable AI (XAI) methods to demonstrate explainability and interpretability of ML models to make their predictions more trustworthy. In this manuscript, we propose a methodology that we define…
Recently, a method [7] was proposed to generate contrastive explanations for differentiable models such as deep neural networks, where one has complete access to the model. In this work, we propose a method, Model Agnostic Contrastive Explanations Method (MACEM), to generate contrastive explanations for \emph{any} classification model where one is able to \emph{only} query the class probabilities for a desired input. This allows us to generate contrastive explanations for not only neural networks, but models such as random forests, boosted trees and even arbitrary ensembles that are still amon…
Tilburg University（蒂尔堡大学）；Warsaw University of Technology（华沙理工大学）；University of Miami（迈阿密大学）
This paper presents a Prolog-based reasoning module to generate counterfactual explanations given the predictions computed by a black-box classifier. The proposed symbolic reasoning module can also resolve what-if queries using the ground-truth labels instead of the predicted ones. Overall, our approach comprises four well-defined stages that can be applied to any structured pattern classification problem. Firstly, we pre-process the given dataset by imputing missing values and normalizing the numerical features. Secondly, we transform numerical features into symbolic ones using fuzzy clusteri…
Local explanations of learning-to-rank (LTR) models are thought to extract the most important features that contribute to the ranking predicted by the LTR model for a single data point. Evaluating the accuracy of such explanations is challenging since the ground truth feature importance scores are not available for most modern LTR models. In this work, we propose a systematic evaluation technique for explanations of LTR models. Instead of using black-box models, such as neural networks, we propose to focus on tree-based LTR models, from which we can extract the ground truth feature importance …
A trustworthy machine learning model should be accurate as well as explainable. Understanding why a model makes a certain decision defines the notion of explainability. While various flavors of explainability have been well-studied in supervised learning paradigms like classification and regression, literature on explainability for time series forecasting is relatively scarce. In this paper, we propose a feature-based explainability algorithm, TsSHAP, that can explain the forecast of any black-box forecasting model. The method is agnostic of the forecasting model and can provide explanations f…
Concept-based explanations aims to fill the model interpretability gap for non-technical humans-in-the-loop. Previous work has focused on providing concepts for specific models (eg, neural networks) or data types (eg, images), and by either trying to extract concepts from an already trained network or training self-explainable models through multi-task learning. In this work, we propose ConceptDistil, a method to bring concept explanations to any black-box classifier using knowledge distillation. ConceptDistil is decomposed into two components:(1) a concept model that predicts which domain con…
Lenovo Research（联想研究院）；University of Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院大学）
Explainability is a gateway between Artificial Intelligence and society as the current popular deep learning models are generally weak in explaining the reasoning process and prediction results. Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanation (LIME) is a recent technique that explains the predictions of any classifier faithfully by learning an interpretable model locally around the prediction. However, the sampling operation in the standard implementation of LIME is defective. Perturbed samples are generated from a uniform distribution, ignoring the complicated correlation between features. Thi…
University of South Australia（南澳大学）；Hefei University of Technology（合肥工业大学）
This paper studies the problem of estimating the contributions of features to the prediction of a specific instance by a machine learning model and the overall contribution of a feature to the model. The causal effect of a feature (variable) on the predicted outcome reflects the contribution of the feature to a prediction very well. A challenge is that most existing causal effects cannot be estimated from data without a known causal graph. In this paper, we define an explanatory causal effect based on a hypothetical ideal experiment. The definition brings several benefits to model agnostic exp…
CountARFactuals -- Generating plausible model-agnostic counterfactual explanations with adversarial random forests
Munich Center for Machine Learning (MCML)（慕尼黑机器学习中心）；LMU Munich（慕尼黑大学）；Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research & Epidemiology – BIPS（莱布尼茨预防研究与流行病学研究所）；University of Bremen（不来梅大学）；University of Tübingen（蒂宾根大学）；University of Copenhagen（哥本哈根大学）
Accurate electricity demand forecasts play a crucial role in sustainable power systems. To enable better decision-making especially for demand flexibility of the end-user, it is necessary to provide not only accurate but also understandable and actionable forecasts. To provide accurate forecasts Global Forecasting Models (GFM) trained across time series have shown superior results in many demand forecasting competitions and real-world applications recently, compared with univariate forecasting approaches. We aim to fill the gap between the accuracy and the interpretability in global forecastin…
Predictive models are being increasingly used to support consequential decision making at the individual level in contexts such as pretrial bail and loan approval. As a result, there is increasing social and legal pressure to provide explanations that help the affected individuals not only to understand why a prediction was output, but also how to act to obtain a desired outcome. To this end, several works have proposed optimization-based methods to generate nearest counterfactual explanations. However, these methods are often restricted to a particular subset of models (e.g., decision trees o…
University of Washington（华盛顿大学）；University of California, Irvine（加利福尼亚大学尔湾分校）
At the core of interpretable machine learning is the question of whether humans are able to make accurate predictions about a model's behavior. Assumed in this question are three properties of the interpretable output: coverage, precision, and effort. Coverage refers to how often humans think they can predict the model's behavior, precision to how accurate humans are in those predictions, and effort is either the up-front effort required in interpreting the model, or the effort required to make predictions about a model's behavior. In this work, we propose anchor-LIME (aLIME), a model-agnostic…
Counterfactual instances are a powerful tool to obtain valuable insights into automated decision processes, describing the necessary minimal changes in the input space to alter the prediction towards a desired target. Most previous approaches require a separate, computationally expensive optimization procedure per instance, making them impractical for both large amounts of data and high-dimensional data. Moreover, these methods are often restricted to certain subclasses of machine learning models (e.g. differentiable or tree-based models). In this work, we propose a deep reinforcement learning…
Comparison of decision trees with Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) technique and multi-linear regression for explaining support vector regression model in terms of root mean square error (RMSE) values
In recent years, post-hoc local instance-level and global dataset-level explainability of black-box models has received a lot of attention. Much less attention has been given to obtaining insights at intermediate or group levels, which is a need outlined in recent works that study the challenges in realizing the guidelines in the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). In this paper, we propose a meta-method that, given a typical local explainability method, can build a multilevel explanation tree. The leaves of this tree correspond to the local explanations, the root corresponds to the glo…
University of Tuebingen（图宾根大学）；Schufa Holding AG（Schufa控股股份公司）
Counterfactual explanations can be obtained by identifying the smallest change made to a feature vector to qualitatively influence a prediction; for example, from 'loan rejected' to 'awarded' or from 'high risk of cardiovascular disease' to 'low risk'. Previous approaches often emphasized that counterfactuals should be easily interpretable to humans, motivating sparse solutions with few changes to the feature vectors. However, these approaches would not ensure that the produced counterfactuals be proximate (i.e., not local outliers) and connected to regions with substantial data density (i.e.,…
To this day, a variety of approaches for providing local interpretability of black-box machine learning models have been introduced. Unfortunately, all of these methods suffer from one or more of the following deficiencies: They are either difficult to understand themselves, they work on a per-feature basis and ignore the dependencies between features and/or they only focus on those features asserting the decision made by the model. To address these points, this work introduces a reinforcement learning-based approach called Monte Carlo tree search for eXplainable Artificial Intelligent (McXai)…
The paper introduces a novel framework for extracting model-agnostic human interpretable rules to explain a classifier's output. The human interpretable rule is defined as an axis-aligned hyper-cuboid containing the instance for which the classification decision has to be explained. The proposed procedure finds the largest (high \textit{coverage}) axis-aligned hyper-cuboid such that a high percentage of the instances in the hyper-cuboid have the same class label as the instance being explained (high \textit{precision}). Novel approximations to the coverage and precision measures in terms of th…
