arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2009.11577cs.CVcs.AIcs.LG
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使用深度学习进行云覆盖临近预报

Cloud Cover Nowcasting with Deep Learning

METEO FRANCE(法国气象局)

Léa Berthomier, Bruno Pradel, Lior Perez

摘要:

临近预报是气象学的一个领域,其目的是在几个小时的短期内预报天气。在气象学领域,这一领域是相当具体的,因为它需要特定的技术,如数据外推,其中传统的气象学通常是基于物理建模。在本文中,我们专注于云量临近预报,它有各种应用领域,如卫星拍摄优化和光伏发电预测。在最近深度学习在多个图像任务上取得成功之后,我们将深度卷积神经网络应用于Meteosat卫星图像进行云层临近预报。我们提出了几种专门从事图像分割和时间序列预测的架构的结果。我们根据机器学习指标以及气象指标选择最佳模型。所有选定的架构都显示出在持久性方面的显着改进,众所周知的U-Net超过了AROME物理模型。

英文摘要:

Nowcasting is a field of meteorology which aims at forecasting weather on a short term of up to a few hours. In the meteorology landscape, this field is rather specific as it requires particular techniques, such as data extrapolation, where conventional meteorology is generally based on physical modeling. In this paper, we focus on cloud cover nowcasting, which has various application areas such as satellite shots optimisation and photovoltaic energy production forecast. Following recent deep learning successes on multiple imagery tasks, we applied deep convolutionnal neural networks on Meteosat satellite images for cloud cover nowcasting. We present the results of several architectures specialized in image segmentation and time series prediction. We selected the best models according to machine learning metrics as well as meteorological metrics. All selected architectures showed significant improvements over persistence and the well-known U-Net surpasses AROME physical model.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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