博彩公司对COVID-19休赛期后德甲主场优势消失的错误定价
Bookmakers' mispricing of the disappeared home advantage in the German Bundesliga after the COVID-19 break
摘要：
二零二零年三月爆发的COVID-19导致欧洲经济活动停顿。这包括体育部门，因为禁止公众集会。德甲是第一个在没有观众的情况下实现重新启动的体育联赛之一。最近的几项研究表明，球队的主场优势在剩下的比赛中被削弱了。我们的论文分析了庄家对这种主场优势消失的反应。我们发现，博彩公司有问题，以调整投注赔率根据消失的主场优势，打开有利可图的投注策略的机会。
英文摘要：
The outbreak of COVID-19 in March 2020 led to a shutdown of economic activities in Europe. This included the sports sector, since public gatherings were prohibited. The German Bundesliga was among the first sport leagues realising a restart without spectators. Several recent studies suggest that the home advantage of teams was eroded for the remaining matches. Our paper analyses the reaction by bookmakers to the disappearance of such home advantage. We show that bookmakers had problems to adjust the betting odds in accordance to the disappeared home advantage, opening opportunities for profitable betting strategies.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
