arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2008.00670cs.CL
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基于深度学习的金融新兴事件推文主题分析

Deep Learning based Topic Analysis on Financial Emerging Event Tweets

School of Computer Science and Engineering(计算机科学与工程学院);Nanyang Business School(南洋商学院);Nanyang Technological University(南洋理工大学)

Shaan Aryaman, Nguwi Yok Yen

摘要:

股票市场的金融分析在很大程度上依赖于定量方法,试图根据历史价格和其他可衡量的指标来预测后续或市场走势。这些定量分析可能遗漏了影响市场的情绪和投机等不可量化的方面。分析大量定性文本数据以了解社交媒体平台上的民意是解决这一差距的一种方法。这项工作通过聚类对28264条金融推文进行了主题分析[1],以发现股票市场中的新兴事件。据发现,在这一期间经常讨论三个主要议题。首先,财务比率每股收益是投资者经常讨论的指标。第二,卖空股票的问题被大量讨论,它经常与摩根士丹利一起被提及。第三,石油和能源部门经常与政策一起讨论。这些推文的语义聚类的方法组成的word 2 vec算法,以获得词嵌入映射到向量的词。然后形成语义词簇。然后,每个推文都使用其组成的单词的词频-逆文档频率(TF-IDF)值进行矢量化,并基于其单词所在的聚类。然后通过训练深度自动编码器将推文向量转换为压缩表示。然后形成K-means聚类。与通常的向量空间模型相比,该方法降低了维度并产生密集向量。主题建模与潜在狄利克雷分配(LDA)和顶部频繁的话被用来分析集群和揭示新兴的事件。

英文摘要:

Financial analyses of stock markets rely heavily on quantitative approaches in an attempt to predict subsequent or market movements based on historical prices and other measurable metrics. These quantitative analyses might have missed out on un-quantifiable aspects like sentiment and speculation that also impact the market. Analyzing vast amounts of qualitative text data to understand public opinion on social media platform is one approach to address this gap. This work carried out topic analysis on 28264 financial tweets [1] via clustering to discover emerging events in the stock market. Three main topics were discovered to be discussed frequently within the period. First, the financial ratio EPS is a measure that has been discussed frequently by investors. Secondly, short selling of shares were discussed heavily, it was often mentioned together with Morgan Stanley. Thirdly, oil and energy sectors were often discussed together with policy. These tweets were semantically clustered by a method consisting of word2vec algorithm to obtain word embeddings that map words to vectors. Semantic word clusters were then formed. Each tweet was then vectorized using the Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency (TF-IDF) values of the words it consisted of and based on which clusters its words were in. Tweet vectors were then converted to compressed representations by training a deep-autoencoder. K-means clusters were then formed. This method reduces dimensionality and produces dense vectors, in contrast to the usual Vector Space Model. Topic modelling with Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) and top frequent words were used to analyze clusters and reveal emerging events.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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