COVID-19对乌克兰城市家庭就业市场的影响
Job market effects of COVID-19 on urban Ukrainian households
摘要：
全球数十亿人的就业状况受到COVID疫情的影响。如何缓解就业市场危机需要新的证据，但目前只有少数研究主要集中在发达国家。我们通过使用乌克兰的新数据填补了文献中的这一空白，乌克兰是东欧的一个转型国家，早期制定了严格的隔离政策。我们模拟了四个二元结果，以确定受访者（i）在隔离期间不工作的人，（ii）更有可能在家工作的人，（iii）害怕失去工作的受访者，以及，最后，（iv）若检疫期进一步延长，则调查参与者的储蓄为1个月或以下。我们的调查结果表明，在公共管理，编程和IT领域工作的受访者以及高素质的专家更有可能在隔离期间保住工作。女性、受过良好教育的受访者以及居住在基辅的受访者更有可能远程工作。在公共部门工作也使人们对未来的就业前景更有信心。虽然我们的研究结果仅限于城市家庭，但它们为就业市场结果、预期和财务安全的相关性提供了重要的早期证据，表明社会经济不平等可能恶化。
英文摘要：
The employment status of billions of people has been affected by the COVID epidemic around the Globe. New evidence is needed on how to mitigate the job market crisis, but there exists only a handful of studies mostly focusing on developed countries. We fill in this gap in the literature by using novel data from Ukraine, a transition country in Eastern Europe, which enacted strict quarantine policies early on. We model four binary outcomes to identify respondents (i) who are not working during quarantine, (ii) those who are more likely to work from home, (iii) respondents who are afraid of losing a job, and, finally, (iv) survey participants who have savings for 1 month or less if quarantine is further extended. Our findings suggest that respondents employed in public administration, programming and IT, as well as highly qualified specialists, were more likely to secure their jobs during the quarantine. Females, better educated respondents, and those who lived in Kyiv were more likely to work remotely. Working in the public sector also made people more confident about their future employment perspectives. Although our findings are limited to urban households only, they provide important early evidence on the correlates of job market outcomes, expectations, and financial security, indicating potential deterioration of socio-economic inequalities.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
