疾病侦探:用数学预测传染病的传播
Disease Detectives: Using Mathematics to Forecast the Spread of Infectious Diseases
摘要:
COVID-19大流行导致人们目前的生活方式发生重大变化。为了确定如何最好地减少大流行的影响并开始重新开放社会,各国政府从传染病传播的数学模型中获得了见解。在本文中,我们介绍了一系列数学模型(称为“隔间模型”),并讨论了分析这些模型的结果如何影响政府政策和人类行为,例如鼓励戴口罩和保持身体距离以帮助减缓疾病的传播。
英文摘要:
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to significant changes in how people are currently living their lives. To determine how to best reduce the effects of the pandemic and start reopening societies, governments have drawn insights from mathematical models of the spread of infectious diseases. In this article, we give an introduction to a family of mathematical models (called "compartmental models") and discuss how the results of analyzing these models influence government policies and human behavior, such as encouraging mask wearing and physical distancing to help slow the spread of the disease.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。