arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2007.05188cs.LGcs.CEecon.EMstat.ML
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基于因果推理的消费贷款智能信用额度管理

Intelligent Credit Limit Management in Consumer Loans Based on Causal Inference

Ant Financial Services Group(蚂蚁金融服务集团)

Hang Miao, Kui Zhao, Zhun Wang, Linbo Jiang, Quanhui Jia, Yanming Fang, Quan Yu

摘要:

消费信贷在促进经济增长中发挥着重要作用,而信用卡是最受欢迎的消费信贷。信用卡最重要的部分之一是信用额度管理。传统上,信用额度的调整是基于有限的启发式策略,这是由经验丰富的专业人士开发的。在本文中,我们提出了一种数据驱动的方法来智能管理信用额度。首先,进行条件独立性检验以获得用于建模的数据。基于这些测试数据,然后建立一个响应模型,以衡量不同的客户,谁是几个控制变量(即功能)描述的增加信用额度(即治疗)的异质性治疗效果。为了纳入边际效应递减,对处理变量引入了精心选择的对数变换。此外,通过GBDT编码对特征进行非线性变换,可以进一步增强模型的能力。最后,一个精心设计的指标,提出了适当的衡量比较方法的性能。实验结果证明了该方法的有效性。

英文摘要:

Nowadays consumer loan plays an important role in promoting the economic growth, and credit cards are the most popular consumer loan. One of the most essential parts in credit cards is the credit limit management. Traditionally, credit limits are adjusted based on limited heuristic strategies, which are developed by experienced professionals. In this paper, we present a data-driven approach to manage the credit limit intelligently. Firstly, a conditional independence testing is conducted to acquire the data for building models. Based on these testing data, a response model is then built to measure the heterogeneous treatment effect of increasing credit limits (i.e. treatments) for different customers, who are depicted by several control variables (i.e. features). In order to incorporate the diminishing marginal effect, a carefully selected log transformation is introduced to the treatment variable. Moreover, the model's capability can be further enhanced by applying a non-linear transformation on features via GBDT encoding. Finally, a well-designed metric is proposed to properly measure the performances of compared methods. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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