arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2007.00508physics.ao-phphysics.soc-ph
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1万亿棵树够吗?

Is a trillion trees enough?

Cédric Mesnage, Michalis Vlachos

摘要:

全球变暖是我们时代的一个主要环境问题。有人建议,植树造林可以成为减轻人为碳排放量增加的不利影响的一种方式。我们开发了一个简单的数据驱动模型来预测不同情景下的全球平均温度,以更好地了解人类干预的结果。我们发现,要保持在巴黎协定设定的1.5度异常范围内,化石燃料能源产量需要减少到2050年预计数字的至少10%,并种植1万亿棵树。

英文摘要:

Global warming is a major environmental concern of our times. It has been suggested that the planting of trees could constitute a way of mitigating the adverse effects of the increasing anthropogenic carbon emissions. We developed a simple data-driven model to predict the global average temperature in diverse scenarios to better understand the outcome of human interventions. We find that to remain under the 1.5 degree of anomaly set by the Paris agreement, the fossil-fuel energy production needs to decrease to at least 10% of the projected figure in 2050 combined with planting a trillion trees.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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