Modeling bike availability in a bike-sharing system using machine learning
Virginia Tech（弗吉尼亚理工大学）；Virginia Tech Transportation Institute（弗吉尼亚理工交通研究所）；Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering（土木与环境工程系）；Dept. of Statistics（统计系）；Dept. of Electrical and Computer Engineering（电气与计算机工程系）
Huthaifa I. Ashqar, Mohammed Elhenawy, Mohammed H. Almannaa, Ahmed Ghanem, Hesham A. Rakha, Leanna House
备注：
Published in: 2017 5th IEEE International Conference on Models and Technologies for Intelligent Transportation Systems (MT-ITS)
发表信息：
2017 5th IEEE International Conference on Models and Technologies for Intelligent Transportation Systems (MT-ITS), 2017, pp. 374-378
This paper models the availability of bikes at San Francisco Bay Area Bike Share stations using machine learning algorithms. Random Forest (RF) and Least-Squares Boosting (LSBoost) were used as univariate regression algorithms, and Partial Least-Squares Regression (PLSR) was applied as a multivariate regression algorithm. The univariate models were used to model the number of available bikes at each station. PLSR was applied to reduce the number of required prediction models and reflect the spatial correlation between stations in the network. Results clearly show that univariate models have lower error predictions than the multivariate model. However, the multivariate model results are reasonable for networks with a relatively large number of spatially correlated stations. Results also show that station neighbors and the prediction horizon time are significant predictors. The most effective prediction horizon time that produced the least prediction error was 15 minutes.
Virginia Tech（弗吉尼亚理工大学）；Virginia Tech Transportation Institute（弗吉尼亚理工大学交通研究所）
The paper develops a method that quantifies the effect of weather conditions on the prediction of bike station counts in the San Francisco Bay Area Bike Share System. The Random Forest technique was used to rank the predictors that were then used to develop a regression model using a guided forward step-wise regression approach. The Bayesian Information Criterion was used in the development and comparison of the various prediction models. We demonstrated that the proposed approach is promising to quantify the effect of various features on a large BSS and on each station in cases of large netwo…
This paper presents SAFEBIKE, a novel route recommendation system for bike-sharing service that utilizes station information to infer the number of available bikes in dock and recommend bike routes according to multiple factors such as distance and safety level. The system consists of a station level availability predictor that predicts bikes and docks amount at each station, and an efficient route recommendation service that considers safety and bike/dock availability factors. It targets users who are concerned about route safeness and station availability. We demonstrate the system by utiliz…
These last years with the growing population in the smart city demands an efficient transportation sharing (bike sharing) system for developing the smart city. The Bike sharing as we know is affordable, easily accessible and reliable mode of transportation. But an efficient bike sharing capable of not only sharing bike also provides information regarding the availability of bike per station, route business, time/day-wise bike schedule. The embedded sensors are able to opportunistically communicate through wireless communication with stations when available, providing real-time data about tours…
Following the growth of dock-based bike sharing systems as an eco-friendly solution for transportation in urban areas, Dockless systems are revolutionizing the market for the increased flexibility they offer to users. Bike redistribution is a common approach to improve service, and there exists extensive research considering static and dynamic rebalancing strategies for dock-based systems. We approach the dockless problem by defining abstract stations from trip start and end location frequency. This paper offers an optimizing Mixed Integer Program framework to model the effects of various bike…
The Citi Bike deployment changes the landscape of urban mobility in New York City and provides an example of a scalable solution that many other large cities are already adopting around the world. Urban stakeholders who are considering a similar deployment would largely benefit from a quantitative assessment of the impact of bike sharing on urban transportation, as well as associated economic, social and environmental implications. While the Citi Bike usage data is publicly available, the main challenge of such an assessment is to provide an adequate baseline scenario of what would have happen…
In recent years, bike-sharing systems have been deployed in many cities, which provide an economical lifestyle. With the prevalence of bike-sharing systems, a lot of companies join the market, leading to increasingly fierce competition. To be competitive, bike-sharing companies and app developers need to make strategic decisions for mobile apps development. Therefore, it is significant to predict and compare the popularity of different bike-sharing apps. However, existing works mostly focus on predicting the popularity of a single app, the popularity contest among different apps has not been e…
Mining individual daily commuting patterns of dockless bike-sharing users: a two-layer framework integrating spatiotemporal flow clustering and rule-based decision trees
The paper develops models for modeling the availability of bikes in the San Francisco Bay Area Bike Share System applying machine learning at two levels: network and station. Investigating BSSs at the station-level is the full problem that would provide policymakers, planners, and operators with the needed level of details to make important choices and conclusions. We used Random Forest and Least-Squares Boosting as univariate regression algorithms to model the number of available bikes at the station-level. For the multivariate regression, we applied Partial Least-Squares Regression (PLSR) to…
University of Illinois at Chicago（伊利诺伊大学芝加哥分校）；Shijiazhuang Tiedao University（石家庄铁道大学）；Tsinghua University（清华大学）
Bicycle-sharing systems, which can provide shared bike usage services for the public, have been launched in many big cities. In bicycle-sharing systems, people can borrow and return bikes at any stations in the service region very conveniently. Therefore, bicycle-sharing systems are normally used as a short-distance trip supplement for private vehicles as well as regular public transportation. Meanwhile, for stations located at different places in the service region, the bike usages can be quite skewed and imbalanced. Some stations have too many incoming bikes and get jammed without enough doc…
Micro-mobility ride-sharing is an emerging technology that provides access to the transit system with minimum environmental impacts. Significant research is required to ensure that micro-mobility ride-sharing provides a better fulfilment of user needs. In this study, we propose a novel business model for the micro-mobility ride-sharing system where light vehicles such as electric scooters and electric bikes are crowdsourced. This new model consists of three entities, the suppliers, the customers, and a management party, which is responsible for receiving, renting, booking, and demand matching …
King Saud University（沙特国王大学）；Booz Allen Hamilton（博兹艾伦汉密尔顿公司）；Queensland University of Technology（昆士兰科技大学）；Virginia Tech（弗吉尼亚理工大学）；Virginia Tech Transportation Institute（弗吉尼亚理工交通研究所）
E-scooter-sharing and e-bike-sharing systems are accommodating and easing the increased traffic in dense cities and are expanding considerably. However, these new micro-mobility transportation modes raise numerous operational and safety concerns. This study analyzes e-scooter and dockless e-bike sharing system user behavior. We investigate how average trip speed change depending on the day of the week and the time of the day. We used a dataset from the city of Austin, TX from December 2018 to May 2019. Our results generally show that the trip average speed for e-bikes ranges between 3.01 and 3…
Active mobility offers an array of physical, emotional, and social wellbeing benefits. However, with the proliferation of the sharing economy, new nonmotorized means of transport are entering the fold, complementing some existing mobility options while competing with others. The purpose of this research study is to investigate the adoption of three active travel modes; namely walking, cycling and bikesharing, in a joint modeling framework. The analysis is based on an adaptation of the stages of change framework, which originates from the health behavior sciences. Multivariate ordered probit mo…
Sociotechnical systems within cities are now equipped with machine learning algorithms in hopes to increase efficiency and functionality by modeling and predicting trends. Machine learning algorithms have been applied in these domains to address challenges such as balancing the distribution of bikes throughout a city and identifying demand hotspots for ride sharing drivers. However, these algorithms applied to challenges in sociotechnical systems have exacerbated social inequalities due to previous bias in data sets or the lack of data from marginalized communities. In this paper, I will addre…
Emerging transportation modes, including car-sharing, bike-sharing, and ride-hailing, are transforming urban mobility but have been shown to reinforce socioeconomic inequities. Spatiotemporal demand prediction models for these new mobility regimes must therefore consider fairness as a first-class design requirement. We present FairST, a fairness-aware model for predicting demand for new mobility systems. Our approach utilizes 1D, 2D and 3D convolutions to integrate various urban features and learn the spatial-temporal dynamics of a mobility system, but we include fairness metrics as a form of …
A significant portion of the radio frequency spectrum remains underutilized due to exclusive and static allocation of spectrum. Provisioning secondary access to the underutilized spectrum could be beneficial to the incumbents if they could gain significant value out of the fallow spectrum while ensuring protection of their primary services. From an incumbent perspective, the spectrum sharing approach needs to be non-harmful as well as efficient. In order to make spectrum sharing efficient, it is necessary to maximize the spectrum available for secondary access as well as maximize its exploitat…
