Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a likelihood-free inference method that has been employed in various applications. However, ABC can be sensitive to outliers if a data discrepancy measure is chosen inappropriately. In this paper, we propose to use a nearest-neighbor-based $γ$-divergence estimator as a data discrepancy measure. We show that our estimator possesses a suitable theoretical robustness property called the redescending property. In addition, our estimator enjoys various desirable properties such as high flexibility, asymptotic unbiasedness, almost sure convergence, and linear-time computational complexity. Through experiments, we demonstrate that our method achieves significantly higher robustness than existing discrepancy measures.
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a well-established family of Monte Carlo methods for performing approximate Bayesian inference in the case where an ``implicit'' model is used for the data: when the data model can be simulated, but the likelihood cannot easily be pointwise evaluated. A fundamental property of standard ABC approaches is that the number of Monte Carlo points required to achieve a given accuracy scales exponentially with the dimension of the data. Prangle et al. (2018) proposes a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that uses a rare event sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) a…
Robustness to outliers is a central issue in real-world machine learning applications. While replacing a model to a heavy-tailed one (e.g., from Gaussian to Student-t) is a standard approach for robustification, it can only be applied to simple models. In this paper, based on Zellner's optimization and variational formulation of Bayesian inference, we propose an outlier-robust pseudo-Bayesian variational method by replacing the Kullback-Leibler divergence used for data fitting to a robust divergence such as the beta- and gamma-divergences. An advantage of our approach is that superior but comp…
Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods rely on asymptotic arguments, implying that parameter inference can be systematically biased even when sufficient statistics are available. We propose to construct the ABC accept/reject step from decision theoretic arguments on a suitable auxiliary space. This framework, referred to as ABC*, fully specifies which test statistics to use, how to combine them, how to set the tolerances and how long to simulate in order to obtain accuracy properties on the auxiliary space. Akin to maximum-likelihood indirect inference, regularity conditions establish …
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has gained popularity over the past few years for the analysis of complex models arising in population genetic, epidemiology and system biology. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approaches have become work horses in ABC. Here we discuss how to construct the perturbation kernels that are required in ABC SMC approaches, in order to construct a set of distributions that start out from a suitably defined prior and converge towards the unknown posterior. We derive optimality criteria for different kernels, which are based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence between…
This paper introduces a variational approximation framework using direct optimization of what is known as the {\it scale invariant Alpha-Beta divergence} (sAB divergence). This new objective encompasses most variational objectives that use the Kullback-Leibler, the R{é}nyi or the gamma divergences. It also gives access to objective functions never exploited before in the context of variational inference. This is achieved via two easy to interpret control parameters, which allow for a smooth interpolation over the divergence space while trading-off properties such as mass-covering of a target d…
University of Southern California（南加利福尼亚大学）；Amazon Web Service（亚马逊云科技）
We propose a robust variational autoencoder with $β$ divergence for tabular data (RTVAE) with mixed categorical and continuous features. Variational autoencoders (VAE) and their variations are popular frameworks for anomaly detection problems. The primary assumption is that we can learn representations for normal patterns via VAEs and any deviation from that can indicate anomalies. However, the training data itself can contain outliers. The source of outliers in training data include the data collection process itself (random noise) or a malicious attacker (data poisoning) who may target to de…
Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables statistical inference in simulator-based models whose likelihoods are difficult to calculate but easy to simulate from. ABC constructs a kernel-type approximation to the posterior distribution through an accept/reject mechanism which compares summary statistics of real and simulated data. To obviate the need for summary statistics, we directly compare empirical distributions with a Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence estimator obtained via contrastive learning. In particular, we blend flexible machine learning classifiers within ABC to automate fake/…
In high-dimensional data, many sparse regression methods have been proposed. However, they may not be robust against outliers. Recently, the use of density power weight has been studied for robust parameter estimation and the corresponding divergences have been discussed. One of such divergences is the $γ$-divergence and the robust estimator using the $γ$-divergence is known for having a strong robustness. In this paper, we consider the robust and sparse regression based on $γ$-divergence. We extend the $γ$-divergence to the regression problem and show that it has a strong robustness under hea…
The Python package pyABC provides a framework for approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), a likelihood-free parameter inference method popular in many research areas. At its core, it implements a sequential Monte-Carlo (SMC) scheme, with various algorithms to adapt to the problem structure and automatically tune hyperparameters. To scale to computationally expensive problems, it provides efficient parallelization strategies for multi-core and distributed systems. The package is highly modular and designed to be easily usable. In this major update to pyABC, we implement several advanced algorit…
University of Southern California（南加州大学）；Stevens Institute of Technology（史蒂文斯理工学院）
Machine learning methods often need a large amount of labeled training data. Since the training data is assumed to be the ground truth, outliers can severely degrade learned representations and performance of trained models. Here we apply concepts from robust statistics to derive a novel variational autoencoder that is robust to outliers in the training data. Variational autoencoders (VAEs) extract a lower-dimensional encoded feature representation from which we can generate new data samples. Robustness of autoencoders to outliers is critical for generating a reliable representation of particu…
Future University Hakodate（公立函馆未来大学）；RIKEN AIP（理化学研究所先进智能项目中心）；University College London（伦敦大学学院）；Université Paris-Saclay（巴黎-萨克雷大学）；Inria（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；CEA（法国原子能和替代能源委员会）；Helsinki Institute for Information Technology HIIT（赫尔辛基信息技术研究所 HIIT）；University of Helsinki（赫尔辛基大学）
Nonlinear independent component analysis (ICA) is a general framework for unsupervised representation learning, and aimed at recovering the latent variables in data. Recent practical methods perform nonlinear ICA by solving a series of classification problems based on logistic regression. However, it is well-known that logistic regression is vulnerable to outliers, and thus the performance can be strongly weakened by outliers. In this paper, we first theoretically analyze nonlinear ICA models in the presence of outliers. Our analysis implies that estimation in nonlinear ICA can be seriously ha…
Bayesian learning is often hampered by large computational expense. As a powerful generalization of popular belief propagation, expectation propagation (EP) efficiently approximates the exact Bayesian computation. Nevertheless, EP can be sensitive to outliers and suffer from divergence for difficult cases. To address this issue, we propose a new approximate inference approach, relaxed expectation propagation (REP). It relaxes the moment matching requirement of expectation propagation by adding a relaxation factor into the KL minimization. We penalize this relaxation with a $l_1$ penalty. As a …
Outliers are ubiquitous in modern data sets. Distance-based techniques are a popular non-parametric approach to outlier detection as they require no prior assumptions on the data generating distribution and are simple to implement. Scaling these techniques to massive data sets without sacrificing accuracy is a challenging task. We propose a novel algorithm based on the intuition that outliers have a significant influence on the quality of divergence-based clustering solutions. We propose sensitivity - the worst-case impact of a data point on the clustering objective - as a measure of outlierne…
Many machine learning tasks involve subpopulation shift where the testing data distribution is a subpopulation of the training distribution. For such settings, a line of recent work has proposed the use of a variant of empirical risk minimization(ERM) known as distributionally robust optimization (DRO). In this work, we apply DRO to real, large-scale tasks with subpopulation shift, and observe that DRO performs relatively poorly, and moreover has severe instability. We identify one direct cause of this phenomenon: sensitivity of DRO to outliers in the datasets. To resolve this issue, we propos…
CyberAgent, Inc.（赛博代理公司）；The University of Tokyo（东京大学）
Density ratio estimation (DRE) is at the core of various machine learning tasks such as anomaly detection and domain adaptation. In existing studies on DRE, methods based on Bregman divergence (BD) minimization have been extensively studied. However, BD minimization when applied with highly flexible models, such as deep neural networks, tends to suffer from what we call train-loss hacking, which is a source of overfitting caused by a typical characteristic of empirical BD estimators. In this paper, to mitigate train-loss hacking, we propose a non-negative correction for empirical BD estimators…
Modern machine learning applications should be able to address the intrinsic challenges arising over inference on massive real-world datasets, including scalability and robustness to outliers. Despite the multiple benefits of Bayesian methods (such as uncertainty-aware predictions, incorporation of experts knowledge, and hierarchical modeling), the quality of classic Bayesian inference depends critically on whether observations conform with the assumed data generating model, which is impossible to guarantee in practice. In this work, we propose a variational inference method that, in a princip…
Divergence estimators based on direct approximation of density-ratios without going through separate approximation of numerator and denominator densities have been successfully applied to machine learning tasks that involve distribution comparison such as outlier detection, transfer learning, and two-sample homogeneity test. However, since density-ratio functions often possess high fluctuation, divergence estimation is still a challenging task in practice. In this paper, we propose to use relative divergences for distribution comparison, which involves approximation of relative density-ratios.…
Deep neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial examples. Prior defenses attempted to make deep networks more robust by either changing the network architecture or augmenting the training set with adversarial examples, but both have inherent limitations. Motivated by recent research that shows outliers in the training set have a high negative influence on the trained model, we studied the relationship between model robustness and the quality of the training set. We first show that outliers give the model better generalization ability but weaker robustness. Next, we propose an adversarial ex…
Optimal transport induces the Earth Mover's (Wasserstein) distance between probability distributions, a geometric divergence that is relevant to a wide range of problems. Over the last decade, two relaxations of optimal transport have been studied in depth: unbalanced transport, which is robust to the presence of outliers and can be used when distributions don't have the same total mass; entropy-regularized transport, which is robust to sampling noise and lends itself to fast computations using the Sinkhorn algorithm. This paper combines both lines of work to put robust optimal transport on so…
In this work, a novel solution to the speaker identification problem is proposed through minimization of statistical divergences between the probability distribution (g). of feature vectors from the test utterance and the probability distributions of the feature vector corresponding to the speaker classes. This approach is made more robust to the presence of outliers, through the use of suitably modified versions of the standard divergence measures. The relevant solutions to the minimum distance methods are referred to as the minimum rescaled modified distance estimators (MRMDEs). Three measur…
