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arXiv 2006.07551stat.ME
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基于样本自协方差的单位根检验

Testing for unit roots based on sample autocovariances

Jinyuan Chang, Guanghui Cheng, Qiwei Yao

摘要:

我们提出了一个新的单位根检验平稳零假设$H_0$对单位根替代$H_1$。我们的方法是非参数的,因为$H_0$只假设有关过程是$I(0)$,而不指定任何参数形式。新的检验是基于样本自协方差函数(ACVF)对于$I(0)$过程收敛于有限总体ACVF,而对于具有单位根的过程发散于无穷大这一事实。因此,新测试拒绝了样本ACVF值较大的$H_0$。为了解决"多大才算大"这一技术难题,我们将样本进行了分割,并为检验统计量的零分布建立了一个适当的正态近似。新的检验统计量的实质区分能力源于它在$H_0$下取有限值并在$H_1$下发散到无穷大的事实。这允许我们截断检验的临界值,使其具有渐近幂1。它还消除了由于样本分裂而导致的功率损失。该测试在用户友好的R函数中实现。

英文摘要:

We propose a new unit-root test for a stationary null hypothesis $H_0$ against a unit-root alternative $H_1$. Our approach is nonparametric as $H_0$ only assumes that the process concerned is $I(0)$ without specifying any parametric forms. The new test is based on the fact that the sample autocovariance function (ACVF) converges to the finite population ACVF for an $I(0)$ process while it diverges to infinity for a process with unit-roots. Therefore the new test rejects $H_0$ for the large values of the sample ACVF. To address the technical challenge `how large is large', we split the sample and establish an appropriate normal approximation for the null-distribution of the test statistic. The substantial discriminative power of the new test statistic is rooted from the fact that it takes finite value under $H_0$ and diverges to infinity under $H_1$. This allows us to truncate the critical values of the test to make it with the asymptotic power one. It also alleviates the loss of power due to the sample-splitting. The test is implemented in a user-friendly R-function.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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