This paper presents a novel estimation approach for cumulative link models, based on median bias reduction as developed in Kenne Pagui et al. (2017). The median bias reduced estimator is obtained as solution of an estimating equation based on an adjustment of the score. It allows to obtain higher-order median centering of maximum likelihood estimates without requiring their finiteness. Moreover, the estimator is equivariant under componentwise monotone reparameterizations and the method is effective in preventing boundary estimates. We evaluate the properties of the median bias reduced estimator through simulation studies and compare it with the two main competitors, the maximum likelihood and the mean bias reduced (Firth, 1993) estimators. Finally, we show an application where the proposed estimator is able to solve the boundary estimates problem.
In numerous regular statistical models, median bias reduction (Kenne Pagui et al., 2017) has proven to be a noteworthy improvement over maximum likelihood, alternative to mean bias reduction. The estimator is obtained as solution to a modified score equation ensuring smaller asymptotic median bias than the maximum likelihood estimator. This paper provides a simplified algebraic form of the adjustment term for general regular models. With the new formula, the estimation procedure benefits from a considerable computational gain by avoiding multiple summations and thus allows an efficient impleme…
This paper presents an integrated framework for estimation and inference from generalized linear models using adjusted score equations that result in mean and median bias reduction. The framework unifies theoretical and methodological aspects of past research on mean bias reduction and accommodates, in a natural way, new advances on median bias reduction. General expressions for the adjusted score functions are derived in terms of quantities that are readily available in standard software for fitting generalized linear models. The resulting estimating equations are solved using a unifying quas…
For regular parametric problems, we show how median centering of the maximum likelihood estimate can be achieved by a simple modification of the score equation. For a scalar parameter of interest, the estimator is equivariant under interest respecting parameterizations and third-order median unbiased. With a vector parameter of interest, componentwise equivariance and third-order median centering are obtained. Like Firth's (1993, Biometrika) implicit method for bias reduction, the new method does not require finiteness of the maximum likelihood estimate and is effective in preventing infinite …
The median absolute deviation is a widely used robust measure of statistical dispersion. Using a scale constant, we can use it as an asymptotically consistent estimator for the standard deviation under normality. For finite samples, the scale constant should be corrected in order to obtain an unbiased estimator. The bias-correction factor depends on the sample size and the median estimator. When we use the traditional sample median, the factor values are well known, but this approach does not provide optimal statistical efficiency. In this paper, we present the bias-correction factors for the …
The estimation of categorical response models using bias-reducing adjusted score equations has seen extensive theoretical research and applied use. The resulting estimates have been found to have superior frequentist properties to what maximum likelihood generally delivers and to be finite, even in cases where the maximum likelihood estimates are infinite. We briefly review mean and median bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates via adjusted score equations in an illustration-driven way, and discuss their particular equivariance properties under parameter transformations. We then apply …
For the estimation of cumulative link models for ordinal data, the bias-reducing adjusted score equations in \citet{firth:93} are obtained, whose solution ensures an estimator with smaller asymptotic bias than the maximum likelihood estimator. Their form suggests a parameter-dependent adjustment of the multinomial counts, which, in turn suggests the solution of the adjusted score equations through iterated maximum likelihood fits on adjusted counts, greatly facilitating implementation. Like the maximum likelihood estimator, the reduced-bias estimator is found to respect the invariance properti…
In survey analysis, the estimation of the cumulative distribution function (cdf) is of great interest: it allows for instance to derive quantiles estimators or other non linear parameters derived from the cdf. We consider the case where the response variable is a right censored duration variable. In this framework, the classical estimator of the cdf is the Kaplan-Meier estimator. As an alternative, we propose a nonparametric model-based estimator of the cdf in a finite population. The new estimator uses auxiliary information brought by a continuous covariate and is based on nonparametric media…
Random-effects models are frequently used to synthesise information from different studies in meta-analysis. While likelihood-based inference is attractive both in terms of limiting properties and of implementation, its application in random-effects meta-analysis may result in misleading conclusions, especially when the number of studies is small to moderate. The current paper shows how methodology that reduces the asymptotic bias of the maximum likelihood estimator of the variance component can also substantially improve inference about the mean effect size. The results are derived for the mo…
Purpose: In this paper we consider the estimation of intracluster correlation for ordinal data. We focus on pure-tone audiometry hearing threshold data, where thresholds are measured in 5 decibel increments. We estimate the intracluster correlation for tests from iPhone-based hearing assessment application as a measure of test/retest reliability. Methods: We present a method to estimate the intracluster correlation using mixed effects cumulative logistic and probit models, which assume the outcome data are ordinal. This contrasts with using a mixed effects linear model which assumes that the o…
Percentiles and more generally, quantiles are commonly used in various contexts to summarize data. For most distributions, there is exactly one quantile that is unbiased. For distributions like the Gaussian that have the same mean and median, that becomes the medians. There are different ways to estimate quantiles from finite samples described in the literature and implemented in statistics packages. It is possible to leverage the memory-less property of the exponential distribution and design high quality estimators that are unbiased and have low variance and mean squared errors. Naturally, t…
In this paper we study the cumulative conditional expectation function (CCEF) in the copula context. It is shown how to compute CCEF in terms of the cumulative copula function, this natural representation allows to deduce some useful properties, for instance with applications to convex combination of copulas. We introduce approximations of CCEF based on Bernstein polynomial copulas. We introduce estimators for CCEF, which were constructed through Bernstein polynomial estimators for copulas. The estimators are asymptotically normal and biased for CCEF.
The sample mean is often used to aggregate different unbiased estimates of a parameter, producing a final estimate that is unbiased but possibly high-variance. This paper introduces the Bayesian median of means, an aggregation rule that roughly interpolates between the sample mean and median, resulting in estimates with much smaller variance at the expense of bias. While the procedure is non-parametric, its squared bias is asymptotically negligible relative to the variance, similar to maximum likelihood estimators. The Bayesian median of means is consistent, and concentration bounds for the es…
The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the maximum likelihood estimator may shows a significant bias. In this paper, Dirchlet's parameters estimation is obtained through modified score functions aiming at mean and median bias reduction of the maximum likelihood estimator, respectively. A simulation study and an application compare the adjusted score approaches with maximum likelihood.
High-frequency measurements and images acquired from various sources in the real world often possess a degree of self-similarity and inherent regular scaling. When data look like a noise, the scaling exponent may be the only informative feature that summarizes such data. Methods for the assessment of self-similarity by estimating Hurst exponent often involve analysis of rate of decay in a spectrum defined in various multiresolution domains. When this spectrum is calculated using discrete non-decimated wavelet transforms, due to increased autocorrelation in wavelet coefficients, the estimators …
This article suggests an efficient class of estimators of population median of the study variable using an auxiliary variable. Asymptotic expressions of bias and mean square error of the proposed class of estimators have been obtained. Asymptotic optimum estimator has been investigated along with its approximate mean square error. We have shown that proposed class of estimator is more efficient than estimator considered by Srivastava (1967), Gross (1980), Kuk and Mak (1989) Singh et al. (2003b), Al and Chingi (2009) and Singh and Solanki (2013). In addition theoretical findings are supported b…
Bias-Reduced Estimation of Structural Equation Models
King Abdullah University of Science and Technology（阿卜杜拉国王科技大学）；Universiti Brunei Darussalam（文莱达鲁萨兰大学）；Ghent University（根特大学）；University of Warwick（华威大学）
We consider conditional estimation in two-stage sample size adjustable designs and the following bias. More specifically, we consider a design which permits raising the sample size when interim results look rather promising, and, which keeps the originally planned sample size when results look very promising. The estimation procedures reported comprise the unconditional maximum likelihood, the conditionally unbiased Rao-Blackwell estimator, the conditional median unbiased estimator, and the conditional maximum likelihood with and without bias correction. We compare these estimators based on an…
