1995-2018年民族国家间友好与敌对关系网络的全球演变
The 1995-2018 Global Evolution of the Network of Amicable and Hostile Relations Among Nation-States
摘要：
我们利用综合危机预警系统收集的数百万国际和地区公共新闻报道的数据，以及该系统对特定民族国家的导向指标。我们构建了特定时期民族国家之间的国际友好和敌对关系网络，以研究这种国际评价网络的全球演变。我们的分析提供了该网络结构演变的证据，以及1995-2018年可用数据期间国际评估变更的概率微观动力学模型。我们的研究提供了关于结构平衡理论跨学科工作领域长期争论的实证研究结果。同样值得注意的是，我们发现，Frobenius规范的顺序转移概率的轨迹，它管理国家之间的国际评价的演变，显着稳定。
英文摘要：
We draw on the data collected by the Integrated Crisis Early Warning System on millions of international and regional public news stories, and this system's indicators of the orientation toward a specific nation-state. We construct the networks of international amicable and hostile relations among nation-states that occur in specific time-periods in order to study the global evolution of the network of such international appraisals. Our analysis presents evidence of an evolution of the structure of this network and a model of the probabilistic micro-dynamics of the alterations of international appraisals during the 1995-2018 span of the available data. Our research provides empirical findings on long-standing debates in the interdisciplinary field of work on Structural Balance Theory. Also remarkably, we find that the trajectory of the Frobenius norm of sequential transition probabilities, which govern the evolution of international appraisals among nations, dramatically stabilizes.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
