结构变革水平：1998-2014年中国发展动力分析
Levels of structural change: An analysis of China's development push 1998-2014
摘要：
我们调查了中国在1998-2014年特别快速增长时期的结构变化。为此，我们利用世界投入产出数据库的部门数据和中国工业企业数据库的企业数据。从文献中已知的相关性定律（法布里坎特定律）开始，我们调查了哪些经验性假设在部门层面上成立，并表明许多这些相关性不能在公司层面上恢复。为了更详细的分析，我们提出了一个多层次的框架，这是与实证验证。为此，我们进行了一个强大的回归，因为各种输入变量在公司层面以及探索性OLS回归的残差被发现是重尾的。我们得出的结论是，Fabricant的法律和其他基本要素主要是依赖于基础设施，技术水平，创新能力和相关劳动力的知识基础等方面的部门层面的特征。我们通过详细展示一些较大部门的发展来说明我们的分析，并在发展经济学、演化经济学和产业组织的背景下提供一些政策含义。
英文摘要：
We investigate structural change in the PR China during a period of particularly rapid growth 1998-2014. For this, we utilize sectoral data from the World Input-Output Database and firm-level data from the Chinese Industrial Enterprise Database. Starting with correlation laws known from the literature (Fabricant's laws), we investigate which empirical regularities hold at the sectoral level and show that many of these correlations cannot be recovered at the firm level. For a more detailed analysis, we propose a multi-level framework, which is validated with empirically. For this, we perform a robust regression, since various input variables at the firm-level as well as the residuals of exploratory OLS regressions are found to be heavy-tailed. We conclude that Fabricant's laws and other regularities are primarily characteristics of the sectoral level which rely on aspects like infrastructure, technology level, innovation capabilities, and the knowledge base of the relevant labor force. We illustrate our analysis by showing the development of some of the larger sectors in detail and offer some policy implications in the context of development economics, evolutionary economics, and industrial organization.
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