Demand response (DR) programs aim to engage distributed small-scale flexible loads, such as thermostatically controllable loads (TCLs), to provide various grid support services. Linearly Solvable Markov Decision Process (LS-MDP), a variant of the traditional MDP, is used to model aggregated TCLs. Then, a model-free reinforcement learning technique called Z-learning is applied to learn the value function and derive the optimal policy for the DR aggregator to control TCLs. The learning process is robust against uncertainty that arises from estimating the passive dynamics of the aggregated TCLs. The efficiency of this data-driven learning is demonstrated through simulations on Heating, Cooling & Ventilation (HVAC) units in a testbed neighborhood of residential houses.
Demand response (DR) programs engage distributed demand-side resources, e.g., controllable residential and commercial loads, in providing ancillary services for electric power systems. Ensembles of these resources can help reducing system load peaks and meeting operational limits by adjusting their electric power consumption. To equip utilities or load aggregators with adequate decision-support tools for ensemble dispatch, we develop a Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach to optimally control load ensembles in a privacy-preserving manner. To this end, the concept of differential privacy is i…
Demand response (DR) programs aim to engage distributed demand-side resources in providing ancillary services for electric power systems. Previously, aggregated thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs) have been demonstrated as a technically viable and economically valuable provider of such services that can effectively compete with conventional generation resources in reducing load peaks and smoothing demand fluctuations. Yet, to provide these services at scale, a large number of TCLs must be accurately aggregated and operated in sync. This paper describes a Markov Decision Process (MDP) that…
Ensembles of thermostatically controlled loads (TCL) provide a significant demand response reserve for the system operator to balance power grids. However, this also results in the parasitic synchronization of individual devices within the ensemble leading to long post-demand-response oscillations in the integrated energy consumption of the ensemble. The synchronization is eventually destructed by fluctuations, thus leading to the (pre-demand response) steady state; however, this natural desynchronization, or relaxation to a statistically steady state, is too long. A resolution of this problem…
Data-centric prognostics is beneficial to improve the reliability and safety of proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC). For the prognostics of PEMFC operating under dynamic load, the challenges come from extracting degradation features, improving prediction accuracy, expanding the prognostics horizon, and reducing computational cost. To address these issues, this work proposes a data-driven PEMFC prognostics approach, in which Hilbert-Huang transform is used to extract health indicator in dynamic operating conditions and symbolic-based gated recurrent unit model is used to enhance the accu…
Optimal Ensemble Control of Loads in Distribution Grids with Network Constraints
Los Alamos National Laboratory（洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室）；Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology（斯科尔科沃科学技术研究所）；Tandon School of Engineering, New York University（纽约大学坦登工程学院）
Data-Driven Dimension Reduction for Industrial Load Modeling Using Inverse Optimization
State Key Lab of Power System Operation and Control, Dept. of Electrical Eng., Tsinghua Univ.（清华大学电机工程与应用电子技术系电力系统国家重点实验室）；Dept. of Electrical and Electronic Eng., Imperial College London（伦敦帝国理工学院电气电子工程系）
This paper presents a convex reformulation of a nonlinear constrained optimization problem for Markov decision processes, and applies the technical findings to optimal control problems for an ensemble of thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs). The paper further explores the formulation and solution of a (linearized) AC optimal power flow problem when one or more ensembles of TCLs are connected to a power network. In particular, a receding horizon controller is proposed, to simultaneously compute the optimal set-points of distributed energy resources (DERs) in the grid and the optimal switchi…
Distribution system residential load modeling and analysis for different geographic areas within a utility or an independent system operator territory are critical for enabling small-scale, aggregated distributed energy resources to participate in grid services under Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Order No. 2222 [1]. In this study, we develop a methodology of modeling residential load profiles in different geographic areas with a focus on human behavior impact. First, we construct a behavior-based load profile model leveraging state-of-the-art appliance models. We simulate human activity…
While non-parametric models, such as neural networks, are sufficient in the load forecasting, separate estimates of fixed and shiftable loads are beneficial to a wide range of applications such as distribution system operational planning, load scheduling, energy trading, and utility demand response programs. A semi-parametric estimation model is usually required, where cost sensitivities of demands must be known. Existing research work consistently uses somewhat arbitrary parameters that seem to work best. In this paper, we propose a generic class of data-driven semiparametric models derived f…
For effective integration of building operations into the evolving demand response programs of the power grid, real-time decisions concerning the use of building appliances for grid services must excel on multiple criteria, ranging from the added value to occupants' comfort to the quality of the grid services. In this paper, we present a data-driven decision-support framework to dynamically rank load control alternatives in a commercial building, addressing the needs of multiple decision criteria (e.g. occupant comfort, grid service quality) under uncertainties in occupancy patterns. We adopt …
With the advancement in smart grid and smart energy devices, demand response becomes one of the most economic and feasible solutions to ease the load stress of the power grids during peak hours. In this work, we propose a fully decentralized ensemble control framework with consensus for demand response (DR) events and compatible control methods based on random policies. We show that under the consensus that is tailored to DR, our proposed decentralized control method yields the same optimality as the centralized control method in both myopic and multistage settings.
The global trend toward renewable power generation has drawn great attention to hydrogen Fuel Cells (FCs), which have a wide variety of applications, from utility power stations to laptops. The Multi-stack Fuel Cell System (MFCS), which is an assembly of FC stacks, can be a remedy for obstacles in high-power applications. However, the output voltage of FC stacks varies dramatically under variable load conditions; hence, in order for MFCS to be efficiently operated and guarantee an appropriate load-current sharing among the FC stacks, advanced converter controllers for power conditioning need t…
This paper proposes a new comprehensive and fully data-driven methodology to estimate the center of inertia (COI) and the regional inertia, considering the displacement of the COI due to disturbances and load inertial contributions. The strategy uses the typicality-based data analysis (TDA) technique to detect the right pilot-bus that represents the COI. In the TDA, a compound of correlation and cosine similarities is implemented to approximate the actual distribution of the data and find the point (bus) closest to the mean which is elected as the pilot-bus. Then, the frequency response at the…
Bundling a large number of distributed energy resources through a load aggregator has been advocated as an effective means to integrate such resources into whole-sale energy markets. To ease market clearing, system operators allow aggregators to submit bidding models of simple prespecified polytopic shapes. Aggregators need to carefully design and commit to a polytope that best captures their energy flexibility along a day-ahead scheduling horizon. This work puts forth a model-informed data-based optimal flexibility design for aggregators, which deals with the time-coupled, uncertain, and non-…
Mean Field Control for Efficient Mixing of Energy Loads
Theory Division & CNLS, LANL（理论部与计算神经科学组，洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室）；University of Arizona（亚利桑那大学）；Program in Applied Mathematics, Department of Mathematics, University of Arizona（亚利桑那大学数学系应用数学项目）；Theory Division, LANL（理论部，洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室）
This work presents a hierarchical architecture for the optimal management of an ensemble of steam generators, which needs to jointly sustain a common load. The coordination of independent subsystems is provided by a multi-layer control scheme. A high-level optimizer computes the optimal shares of production to be allocated to single generators. At medium level, a robust tube-based model predictive control (MPC) is proposed to track the time-varying demand of the ensemble using a centralized, but aggregated model, whose order does not scale with the number of subsystems. At low level, decentral…
This paper presents a data-driven method for producing annual continuous dynamic rating of power transformers to serve the long-term planning purpose. Historically, research works on dynamic rating have been focused on real-time/near-future system operations. There has been a lack of research for long-term planning oriented applications. Currently, most utility companies still rely on static rating numbers when planning power transformers for the next few years. In response, this paper proposes a novel and comprehensive method to analyze the past 5-year temperature, loading and load compositio…
Low inertia, nonlinearity and a high level of uncertainty (varying topologies and operating conditions) pose challenges to microgrid (MG) systemwide operation. This paper proposes an online adaptive Koopman operator optimal control (AKOOC) method for MG secondary voltage and frequency control. Unlike typical data-driven methods that are data-hungry and lack guaranteed stability, the proposed AKOOC requires no warm-up training yet with guaranteed bounded-input-bounded-output (BIBO) stability and even asymptotical stability under some mild conditions. The proposed AKOOC is developed based on an …
Advances in edge computing are powering the development and deployment of Internet of Things (IoT) systems to provide advanced services and resource efficiency. However, large-scale IoT-based load-altering attacks (LAAs) can seriously impact power grid operations, such as destabilising the grid's control loops. Timely detection and identification of any compromised nodes are essential to minimise the adverse effects of these attacks on power grid operations. In this work, two data-driven algorithms are proposed to detect and identify compromised nodes and the attack parameters of the LAAs. The…
