Spatial Matrix Completion for Spatially-Misaligned and High-Dimensional Air Pollution Data
Phuong T. Vu, Adam A. Szpiro, Noah Simon
备注:
26 pages, 5 figures, 5 tables, 1 supplemental file (available upon request). This v2 is a pre peer-reviewed version that was submitted to Environmetrics. A final version with minor revisions was accepted for publication by Environmetrics on Dec 13, 2021, and will be linked to this version once published
In health-pollution cohort studies, accurate predictions of pollutant concentrations at new locations are needed, since the locations of fixed monitoring sites and study participants are often spatially misaligned. For multi-pollution data, principal component analysis (PCA) is often incorporated to obtain low-rank (LR) structure of the data prior to spatial prediction. Recently developed predictive PCA modifies the traditional algorithm to improve the overall predictive performance by leveraging both LR and spatial structures within the data. However, predictive PCA requires complete data or an initial imputation step. Nonparametric imputation techniques without accounting for spatial information may distort the underlying structure of the data, and thus further reduce the predictive performance. We propose a convex optimization problem inspired by the LR matrix completion framework and develop a proximal algorithm to solve it. Missing data are imputed and handled concurrently within the algorithm, which eliminates the necessity of a separate imputation step. We show that our algorithm has low computational burden and leads to reliable predictive performance as the severity of missing data increases.
Accurate predictions of pollutant concentrations at new locations are often of interest in air pollution studies on fine particulate matters (PM$_{2.5}$), in which data is usually not measured at all study locations. PM$_{2.5}$ is also a mixture of many different chemical components. Principal component analysis (PCA) can be incorporated to obtain lower-dimensional representative scores of such multi-pollutant data. Spatial prediction can then be used to estimate these scores at new locations. Recently developed predictive PCA modifies the traditional PCA algorithm to obtain scores with spatia…
We propose novel methods for predictive (sparse) PCA with spatially misaligned data. These methods identify principal component loading vectors that explain as much variability in the observed data as possible, while also ensuring the corresponding principal component scores can be predicted accurately by means of spatial statistics at locations where air pollution measurements are not available. This will make it possible to identify important mixtures of air pollutants and to quantify their health effects in cohort studies, where currently available methods cannot be used. We demonstrate the…
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University of Delaware(特拉华大学);PingAn Technology(平安科技);South China University of Technology(华南理工大学)
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University of Sheffield(谢菲尔德大学);Makerere University(麦克雷雷大学)
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Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health(哈佛大学陈曾熙公共卫生学院);The University of Texas at Austin(德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校)
Estimating the causal effects of a spatially-varying intervention on a spatially-varying outcome may be subject to non-local confounding (NLC), a phenomenon that can bias estimates when the treatments and outcomes of a given unit are dictated in part by the covariates of other nearby units. In particular, NLC is a challenge for evaluating the effects of environmental policies and climate events on health-related outcomes such as air pollution exposure. This paper first formalizes NLC using the potential outcomes framework, providing a comparison with the related phenomenon of causal interferen…
Centre for Speckled Computing(散斑计算中心);University of Edinburgh(爱丁堡大学)
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GraphSVR: A Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression Framework for Robust Spatiotemporal Air Pollution Forecasting
Department of Mathematics, School of Advanced Sciences, Vellore Institute of Technology(维杰雷理工学院数学系);SAFIR, Sorbonne University(索邦大学SAFIR中心);Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi(阿布扎希统计中心)