对辛格和阿迪卡里对印度的新冠肺炎分析的批评
A critique of the Covid-19 analysis for India by Singh and Adhikari
摘要：
在最近的一篇论文（arXiv：2003.12055）中，Singh和Adhikari介绍了流行病学数学模型的分析结果，他们认为印度需要$49$日封锁来控制印度的流行病。我们断言，作为一个模型研究与所述的假设，本文中提出的分析是完全有效的，但是，任何严重的比较与实际数据和试图从模型预测是非常有问题的。本文件的要点是令人信服地确立这一论断，同时提出警告，即决策者不应从表面上看待这种数学模型的结果和分析，需要非常谨慎地使用。
英文摘要：
In a recent paper (arXiv:2003.12055), Singh and Adhikari present results of an analysis of a mathematical model of epidemiology based on which they argue that a $49$ day lockdown is required in India for containing the pandemic in India. We assert that as a model study with the stated assumptions, the analysis presented in the paper is perfectly valid, however, any serious comparison with real data and attempts at prediction from the model are highly problematic. The main point of the present paper is to convincingly establish this assertion while providing a warning that the results and analysis of such mathematical models should not be taken at face value and need to be used with great caution by policy makers.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
