有效疏散曼哈顿下城
Efficiently Evacuating Lower Manhattan
摘要:
虽然气象学和预报技术每年都有迅速发展,但自然灾害的威胁并不是完全可以预测的。然而,可预测性仍然不能保证可避免性,因此有足够的时间对预测作出反应仍然是一个主要关切。城市当局往往作出相当大的努力,通过投资于基础设施和研究疏散战略,以尽量减少对人类的潜在伤害,为此类事件做好准备。本研究的重点是曼哈顿岛的这些疏散策略之一的发展。提出的算法是基于计算的交通低密度和时间成本的源-目的地路线的评估。通过利用转运LP优化模型,我们能够了解曼哈顿下城目标出口的疏散人员的最佳吞吐量,以在最短的时间内将人口从危害的方式中移除,假设预测了潜在的自然灾害。
英文摘要:
Although each year brings rapid advancement in meteorology and forecasting technology, the threat of natural disasters is not totally predictable. Predictability, however, still will not guarantee avoidability, thus adequate time to react to predictions remains a chief concern. Considerable effort by city authorities is often put forth to prepare for such events by investing in infrastructure and research on evacuation strategies to minimize the potential harm to humanity. This study focuses on the development of one of these evacuation strategies for Manhattan Island. The algorithm proposed is based on evaluating source destination routes with calculated traffic low densities and time costs. By utilizing the transshipment LP optimization model, we are able to understand the optimal throughput of evacuees in targeted exits of lower Manhattan to remove the population from harm's way in the least amount of time, assuming a potential natural disaster is forecasted.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。