A Diagnostic for Bias in Linear Mixed Model Estimators Induced by Dependence Between the Random Effects and the Corresponding Model Matrix
Andrew T. Karl, Dale L. Zimmerman
备注:
Corrected the bias decomposition and variance assumptions, clarified diagnostic interpretation, added conditional simulation checks, and corrected minor notation, wording and punctuation
发表信息:
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 211, March 2021, Pages 107-118
We explore how violations of the often-overlooked standard assumption that the random effects model matrix in a linear mixed model is fixed (and thus independent of the random effects vector) can lead to bias in estimators of estimable functions of the fixed effects. However, if the random effects of the original mixed model are instead also treated as fixed effects, or if the fixed and random effects model matrices are orthogonal with respect to the inverse of the error covariance matrix (with probability one), or if the random effects and the corresponding model matrix are independent, then these estimators are unbiased. The bias in the general case is quantified, and a diagnostic for its random-effects contribution is compared to a randomized permutation distribution of the predicted random effects, producing an informative summary graphic for each estimator of interest. This is demonstrated through the examination of sporting outcomes used to estimate a home field advantage.
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Two recently introduced model based bias corrected estimators for proportion of true null hypotheses ($π_0$) under multiple hypotheses testing scenario have been restructured for exponentially distributed random observations available for each of the common hypotheses. Based on stochastic ordering, a new motivation behind formulation of some related estimators for $π_0$ is given. The reduction of bias for the model based estimators are theoretically justified and algorithms for computing the estimators are also presented. The estimators are also used to formulate a popular adaptive multiple te…
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Bias robustness of depth estimators in multivariate settings
FAMAF, National University of Córdoba(科尔多瓦国立大学 FAMAF);CIEM and CONICET, Argentina(阿根廷 CIEM 和 CONICET);Department of Mathematics, National University of Río Cuarto, Argentina(里奥夸尔托国立大学数学系)
In this article we study a class of parameters with the so-called `mixed bias property'. For parameters with this property, the bias of the semiparametric efficient one step estimator is equal to the mean of the product of the estimation errors of two nuisance functions. In non-parametric models, parameters with the mixed bias property admit so-called rate doubly robust estimators, i.e. estimators that are consistent and asymptotically normal when one succeeds in estimating both nuisance functions at sufficiently fast rates, with the possibility of trading off slower rates of convergence for t…
The problem of reducing the bias of maximum likelihood estimator in a general multivariate elliptical regression model is considered. The model is very flexible and allows the mean vector and the dispersion matrix to have parameters in common. Many frequently used models are special cases of this general formulation, namely: errors-in-variables models, nonlinear mixed-effects models, heteroscedastic nonlinear models, among others. In any of these models, the vector of the errors may have any multivariate elliptical distribution. We obtain the second-order bias of the maximum likelihood estimat…
In this paper we discuss improved estimators for the regression and the dispersion parameters in an extended class of dispersion models (Jørgensen, 1996). This class extends the regular dispersion models by letting the dispersion parameter vary throughout the observations, and contains the dispersion models as particular case. General formulae for the second-order bias are obtained explicitly in dispersion models with dispersion covariates, which generalize previous results by Botter and Cordeiro (1998), Cordeiro and McCullagh (1991), Cordeiro and Vasconcellos (1999), and Paula (1992). The pra…
Optimal estimation of a coin's bias using noisy data is surprisingly different from the same problem with noiseless data. We study this problem using entropy risk to quantify estimators' accuracy. We generalize the "add Beta" estimators that work well for noiseless coins, and we find that these hedged maximum-likelihood (HML) estimators achieve a worst-case risk of O(N^{-1/2}) on noisy coins, in contrast to O(1/N) in the noiseless case. We demonstrate that this increased risk is unavoidable and intrinsic to noisy coins, by constructing minimax estimators (numerically). However, minimax estimat…
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Bias-Corrected Estimators for Joint Entropy, Conditional Entropy, and Mutual Information in the Discrete Bivariate Case: Theory and an Application to Motor Insurance
The issues of bias-correction and robustness are crucial in the strategy of divide-and-conquer (DC), especially for asymmetric nonparametric models with massive data. It is known that quantile-based methods can achieve the robustness, but the quantile estimation for nonparametric regression has non-ignorable bias when the error distribution is asymmetric. This paper explores a global bias-corrected DC by quantile-matched composite for nonparametric regressions with general error distributions. The proposed strategies can achieve the bias-correction and robustness, simultaneously. Unlike common…
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Widely used methods for analyzing missing data can be biased in small samples. To understand these biases, we evaluate in detail the situation where a small univariate normal sample, with values missing at random, is analyzed using either observed-data maximum likelihood (ML) or multiple imputation (MI). We evaluate two types of MI: the usual Bayesian approach, which we call posterior draw (PD) imputation, and a little-used alternative, which we call ML imputation, in which values are imputed conditionally on an ML estimate. We find that observed-data ML is more efficient and has lower mean sq…
An important challenge in statistical analysis lies in controlling the bias of estimators due to the ever-increasing data size and model complexity. Approximate numerical methods and data features like censoring and misclassification often result in analytical and/or computational challenges when implementing standard estimators. As a consequence, consistent estimators may be difficult to obtain, especially in complex and/or high dimensional settings. In this paper, we study the properties of a general simulation-based estimation framework that allows to construct bias corrected consistent est…
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University of California, Berkeley(加州大学伯克利分校);Stanford University(斯坦福大学)
We analyze bias correction methods using jackknife, bootstrap, and Taylor series. We focus on the binomial model, and consider the problem of bias correction for estimating $f(p)$, where $f \in C[0,1]$ is arbitrary. We characterize the supremum norm of the bias of general jackknife and bootstrap estimators for any continuous functions, and demonstrate the in delete-$d$ jackknife, different values of $d$ may lead to drastically different behaviors in jackknife. We show that in the binomial model, iterating the bootstrap bias correction infinitely many times may lead to divergence of bias and va…