2019年智利社会动荡的剖析
The anatomy of the 2019 Chilean social unrest
摘要：
我们分析了2019年智利的社会动荡事件，包括一系列事件，通过一个考虑全球传染动力学的类似运动模型的镜头。我们调整参数，智利社会动荡的汇总公共数据，从人权副秘书长，并观察到，暴力事件的数量遵循一个明确的模式已经观察到的各种公共秩序混乱事件在其他国家自六十年代以来。虽然类扰动模型显示了一个单一的事件，达到一个峰值，然后指数衰减，我们添加了标准的扰动方案，可能会产生丰富的时间行为，如在2019年智利社会动荡中观察到的。虽然我们只能访问汇总数据，但我们仍然能够很好地将其与我们的模型相匹配，为社会动荡动态提供有趣的见解。
英文摘要：
We analyze the 2019 Chilean social unrest episode, consisting of a sequence of events, through the lens of an epidemic-like model that considers global contagious dynamics. We adjust the parameters to the Chilean social unrest aggregated public data available from the Undersecretary of Human Rights, and observe that the number of violent events follows a well-defined pattern already observed in various public disorder episodes in other countries since the sixties. Although the epidemic-like models display a single event that reaches a peak followed by an exponential decay, we add standard perturbation schemes that may produce a rich temporal behavior as observed in the 2019 Chilean social turmoil. Although we only have access to aggregated data, we are still able to fit it to our model quite well, providing interesting insights on social unrest dynamics.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
