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arXiv 2002.10819eess.IVcs.LGstat.ML

Variational Inference and Bayesian CNNs for Uncertainty Estimation in Multi-Factorial Bone Age Prediction

Institute of Computer Graphics and Vision(计算机图形与视觉研究所);Graz University of Technology(格拉茨理工大学);School of Computer Science(计算机科学学院);University of Auckland(奥克兰大学)

Stefan Eggenreich, Christian Payer, Martin Urschler, Darko Štern

英文摘要:

Additionally to the extensive use in clinical medicine, biological age (BA) in legal medicine is used to assess unknown chronological age (CA) in applications where identification documents are not available. Automatic methods for age estimation proposed in the literature are predicting point estimates, which can be misleading without the quantification of predictive uncertainty. In our multi-factorial age estimation method from MRI data, we used the Variational Inference approach to estimate the uncertainty of a Bayesian CNN model. Distinguishing model uncertainty from data uncertainty, we interpreted data uncertainty as biological variation, i.e. the range of possible CA of subjects having the same BA.

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