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arXiv 2002.03237stat.MLcs.LGmath.STstat.TH

Learning CHARME models with neural networks

Normandie Université(诺曼底大学);UNICAEN(卡昂大学);CNRS(法国国家科学研究中心);ENSICAEN(卡昂高等工程师学院)

José G. Gómez García, Jalal Fadili, Christophe Chesneau

英文摘要:

In this paper, we consider a model called CHARME (Conditional Heteroscedastic Autoregressive Mixture of Experts), a class of generalized mixture of nonlinear nonparametric AR-ARCH time series. Under certain Lipschitz-type conditions on the autoregressive and volatility functions, we prove that this model is stationary, ergodic and $τ$-weakly dependent. These conditions are much weaker than those presented in the literature that treats this model. Moreover, this result forms the theoretical basis for deriving an asymptotic theory of the underlying (non)parametric estimation, which we present for this model. As an application, from the universal approximation property of neural networks (NN), we develop a learning theory for the NN-based autoregressive functions of the model, where the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the considered estimator of the NN weights and biases are guaranteed under weak conditions.

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